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12.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Rogelio Livieres
Referee: D. Ojeda
Club Guarani
Match Timeline
Cerro Porteno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
38'
D. Fernandez · Assist: C. Arrua
Club Guarani
⚽
44'
A. D. Canete Torres · Assist: I. Aliseda
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
C. Bobadilla ↔ A. Gamarra
Cerro Porteno
🟨
52'
Diego Fernández
Club Guarani
🔄
63'
B. Riveros ↔ A. G. Benitez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
63'
L. Merolla ↔ R. Piris
Cerro Porteno
🔄
67'
C. Arrua ↔ J. Recalde
Club Guarani
🟨
72'
Giovanni Gómez
Club Guarani
🔄
76'
J. Garcia ↔ F. Fernandez
Club Guarani
🔄
76'
G. Gomez ↔ V. Cespedes
Club Guarani
🔄
76'
D. Fernandez ↔ P. Coronel
Club Guarani
🔄
78'
I. Aliseda ↔ J. Torres
Cerro Porteno
VAR
81'
Pablo Vegetti
Cerro Porteno
🟨
83'
Imanol Segovia
Club Guarani
⚽
84'
Pablo Vegetti
Cerro Porteno
🔄
88'
A. Mendez ↔ R. O. Rodriguez Echeverria
Club Guarani
🟨
90+7'
Piris da Motta
Cerro Porteno
VAR
90+7'
Piris da Motta
Cerro Porteno
🔄
90+2'
C. Chena ↔ G. Gimenez
Cerro Porteno

Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds 3.16
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.27
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.5%
3.16 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.27 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.40 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Club Guarani Win 53.5%
Draw 14.1%
Cerro Porteno Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Guarani1.03
Cerro Porteno1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Guarani Club Guarani
WWDLW
38 GF / 33 GA
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WLDWL
49 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
16
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
12
3.76
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Guarani Club Guarani 33 matches
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 38 matches
Club Guarani Statistic Cerro Porteno
10 Wins 19
13 Draws 8
10 Losses 11
38 Goals For 49
33 Goals Against 32
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
16 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 17
11 Failed To Score 9
3.76 Shots On Goal 4.39
10.85 Total Shots 12.18
4.12 Corners 4.39
45.2% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Guarani expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Cerro Porteno in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro Porteno having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Cerro Porteno.

Club Guarani Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Club Guarani have collected 13 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. García (2 goals), M. López (1 goals), D. Fernández (1 goals), with creative support from M. López (1 assists), René Rodríguez (1 assists), M. Añasco (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Cerro Porteno Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Cerro Porteno have collected 13 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 12:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Vegetti (4 goals), I. Ramírez (2 goals), J. Morel (2 goals), with creative support from I. Aliseda (1 assists), A. Gamarra (1 assists), Cecilio Domínguez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Guarani won 4 times, Cerro Porteno won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Club Guarani's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Club Guarani 4-1-4-1 / Cerro Porteno 5-4-1
H2H summary: Club Guarani wins 4, draws 3, Cerro Porteno wins 8

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
2 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
3 12 8 1 3 21:9 12 25
W W W W D
4 13 7 2 4 23:13 10 23
W W L W L
5 12 6 4 2 19:7 12 22
D W W L W
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
8 13 5 2 6 15:14 1 17
L L W D W
9 13 4 1 8 14:24 -10 13
L L W L L
10 13 3 3 7 15:24 -9 12
W D L L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 3 10 4:22 -18 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)