ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.10.2026 22:30
Estadio Municipal Eva Peron

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.9%
- ▥
BTTS No
65.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 45.9%
Draw 17.7%
San Telmo Win 36.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ciudad de Bolívar0.94
San Telmo0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
San Telmo San Telmo
WLDWL
28 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
13
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 33 matches
San Telmo San Telmo 32 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Statistic San Telmo
11 Wins 9
12 Draws 10
10 Losses 13
27 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 36
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
13 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Telmo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Telmo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

So far, Ciudad de Bolívar have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 45 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses, while the 27:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Telmo Analysis

San Telmo sit 14 with 34 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats with a 25:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 times, San Telmo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Ciudad de Bolívar's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
H2H summary: Ciudad de Bolívar wins 1, draws 0, San Telmo wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 7 7 36:27 9 61
L W W D D
2 32 17 7 8 51:32 19 58
W L L W W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 32 14 11 7 46:28 18 53
W D W L W
5 32 14 10 8 39:25 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 10 10 25:21 4 46
L L L D D
7 32 12 9 11 29:27 2 45
L W W W L
8 32 11 12 9 27:28 -1 45
W W L D L
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 32 9 10 13 30:33 -3 37
D L W D W
11 32 8 13 11 25:29 -4 37
D L W W D
12 32 9 10 13 28:36 -8 37
W W L W D
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 32 7 14 11 29:39 -10 35
W L L D D
15 32 6 15 11 20:29 -9 33
D D L D D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 32 6 13 13 25:38 -13 31
L L D D L
18 32 7 8 17 22:35 -13 29
L W W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation