PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: A. Blas
Cienciano
Match Timeline
Comerciantes Unidos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
18'
Matías Succar
Cienciano
🟨
20'
Ray Sandoval
Cienciano
🟨
27'
Alejandro Hohberg
Cienciano
VAR
35'
Matías Succar
Cienciano
🔄
36'
A. Rodriguez ↔ T. Salinas
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
42'
Flavio Alcedo
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
45+8'
Thiago Salinas
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
45+1'
Fabio Rojas
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
46'
J. Olivares ↔ E. M. Perez Azambuya
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
66'
Rodrigo Vilca
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
68'
M. Martinich ↔ N. Bandiera
Cienciano
🔄
68'
R. Sandoval ↔ C. Souza Espana
Cienciano
🔄
68'
M. Succar ↔ C. Garces
Cienciano
🔄
68'
G. Barreto ↔ A. Rojas
Cienciano
🔄
71'
R. Vilca ↔ C. Saavedra
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
78'
A. Arias ↔ C. A. Correa Flores
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
81'
Carlos Saavedra
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
86'
R. Salazar ↔ D. La Torre
Cienciano
🟨
90+11'
Neri Bandiera
Cienciano
🟨
90+7'
Didier La Torre
Cienciano
🟥
90+1'
Maximiliano Amondarain
Cienciano
VAR
90+1'
Maximiliano Amondarain
Cienciano
🟨
90+9'
Maximiliano Perez
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
90+3'
↔ J. Herrera
Comerciantes Unidos
90'
N. Bandiera
Cienciano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cienciano Win 74.1%
Draw 0%
Comerciantes Unidos Win 25.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cienciano1.73
Comerciantes Unidos1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cienciano Cienciano
WWDLW
27 GF / 17 GA
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
6
6.42
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cienciano Cienciano 13 matches
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 14 matches
Cienciano Statistic Comerciantes Unidos
7 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
3 Losses 4
27 Goals For 18
17 Goals Against 17
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
10 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
6.42 Shots On Goal 3.67
15.08 Total Shots 11.33
5.58 Corners 3.42
51.4% Ball Possession 41.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cienciano expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Comerciantes Unidos in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Comerciantes Unidos.

Cienciano Analysis

Cienciano approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 23 points after 12 outings. With 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Garces (9 goals), A. Hohberg (8 goals), N. Bandiera (5 goals), with creative support from A. Hohberg (5 assists), C. Souza Espana (2 assists), G. Aguirre (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Comerciantes Unidos Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 19 points from 12 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matias Sen (5 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), J. Herrera (2 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Cienciano won 5 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:7 from Cienciano's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cienciano 3-4-2-1 / Comerciantes Unidos 5-3-2
H2H summary: Cienciano wins 5, draws 1, Comerciantes Unidos wins 1
Stats
Cienciano Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 3
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
395 Total passes 214
301 Passes accurate 135
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cienciano
Formation
Comerciantes Unidos
G. Falcon
G. Falcon
M. Amondarain
M. Amondarain
R. Aguilar
R. Aguilar
A. Yovera
A. Yovera
R. Salazar
R. Salazar
H. Caparo
H. Caparo
G. Barreto
G. Barreto
M. Martinich
M. Martinich
R. Sandoval
R. Sandoval
A. Hohberg
A. Hohberg
M. Succar
M. Succar
M. Cordova
M. Cordova
F. Alcedo
F. Alcedo
P. Guzman
P. Guzman
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
F. Rojas
F. Rojas
A. Arias
A. Arias
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
A. Cossio
A. Cossio
J. Olivares
J. Olivares
R. Vilca
R. Vilca
M. Sen
M. Sen
Cienciano 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Falcon
G
4
M. Amondarain
🟥 90+1'
D
26
R. Aguilar
D
27
A. Yovera
D
25
R. Salazar
↓ 86'
M
39
H. Caparo
M
88
G. Barreto
↓ 68'
M
16
M. Martinich
↓ 68'
M
17
R. Sandoval
↓ 68' 🟨 20'
F
10
A. Hohberg
🟨 27'
F
19
M. Succar
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
31
I. Espinoza Gomes
G
11
N. Bandiera
⚽ 90' ↑ 68' 🟨 90+11'
F
7
C. Souza Espana
↑ 68'
M
18
D. La Torre
↑ 86' 🟨 90+7'
F
21
C. Garces
↑ 68'
F
13
C. Nunez
D
14
S. Cavero
D
29
A. Robles
M
37
A. Rojas
↑ 68'
M
Comerciantes Unidos 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
17
M. Cordova
G
40
F. Alcedo
🟨 42'
D
30
P. Guzman
D
6
J. Rodriguez
D
16
F. Rojas
🟨 45+1'
M
4
A. Arias
↓ 78'
M
18
A. Rodriguez
↓ 36'
M
15
A. Cossio
M
50
J. Olivares
↓ 46'
25
R. Vilca
↓ 71' 🟨 66'
F
9
M. Sen
F
Substitutes
99
J. Charun
7
M. Carranza
M
13
E. M. Perez Azambuya
↑ 46' 🟨 90+9'
F
29
C. Saavedra
↑ 71' 🟨 81'
M
5
C. A. Correa Flores
↑ 78'
M
20
J. Parodi
M
11
J. Herrera
↑ 90+3'
19
D. Lino
D
14
T. Salinas
↑ 36' 🟨 45+8'
M
Last matches: Cienciano
31.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
ADT
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Cusco
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Boys
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
3
2
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
6
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Cienciano
Bolívar
1
1
D
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
30.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
0
1
L
25.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
4
3
W
07.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
1
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
H2H: Cienciano vs Comerciantes Unidos
02.05.26
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
08.08.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
1
1
D
10.03.25
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
3
2
W
13.07.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
1
2
W
28.01.24
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
15.09.19
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
2
1
L
02.06.19
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
4
1
W
Last matches: Cienciano
31.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
ADT
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
3
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Boys
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
6
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Cienciano
Bolívar
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cienciano
02.05.26
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
10.03.25
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
3
2
W
28.01.24
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
02.06.19
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
4
1
W
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
30.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
4
3
W
22.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
H2H away: Comerciantes Unidos
02.05.26
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
L
10.03.25
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
3
2
L
28.01.24
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
L
02.06.19
H2H
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
4
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)