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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
11.10.2026 11:35
Longxing Football Stadium

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win 27.7%
Draw 25.7%
Shandong Luneng Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chongqing Tongliang Long1.28
Shandong Luneng1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
WWDLW
27 GF / 32 GA
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
WLDWL
46 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.77
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
14
BTTS Yes
19
9
Over 2.5
18
3.27
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 26 matches
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 26 matches
Chongqing Tongliang Long Statistic Shandong Luneng
7 Wins 13
10 Draws 4
9 Losses 9
27 Goals For 46
32 Goals Against 43
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
14 BTTS Yes 19
16 Over 1.5 23
9 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 4
3.27 Shots On Goal 4.73
9.38 Total Shots 13.81
4.08 Corners 4.27
48.5% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Shandong Luneng's more proactive style and Chongqing Tongliang Long's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Chongqing Tongliang Long have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Shandong Luneng having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shandong Luneng.

Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis

Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 9 with 31 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 27:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Dimata (6 goals), G. Cîmpanu (4 goals), Chen Chunxin (3 goals), with creative support from G. Cîmpanu (4 assists), L. Dimata (2 assists), Zhixiong Zhang (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shandong Luneng Analysis

Shandong Luneng are currently 6 in the standings with 37 points from 26 matches. The record of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 46:43 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cryzan (14 goals), Xie Wenneng (4 goals), Zeca (4 goals), with creative support from Cryzan (6 assists), V. Qazaishvili (6 assists), Li Yuanyi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Chongqing Tongliang Long won 0 times, Shandong Luneng won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:9 from Chongqing Tongliang Long's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 6.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.3%)
Predicted formations: Chongqing Tongliang Long - / Shandong Luneng 3-4-3
H2H summary: Chongqing Tongliang Long wins 0, draws 0, Shandong Luneng wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation