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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
17.10.2026 20:00
Estadio La Independencia

Chico vs Atletico Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds 6.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 2.00
0 agree / 1 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
6.10 ▥
BTTS Yes
53.4%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.03 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.30 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
10.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
19.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Chico Win 66.7%
Draw 4.9%
Atletico Nacional Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chico0.89
Atletico Nacional1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chico Chico
WWDLW
25 GF / 50 GA
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
WLDWL
73 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.98
7
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
25
2.93
Shots on Goal
6.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chico Chico 30 matches
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 40 matches
Chico Statistic Atletico Nacional
8 Wins 25
5 Draws 4
17 Losses 11
25 Goals For 73
50 Goals Against 39
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.98
7 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 31
15 Over 2.5 25
6 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 12
17 Failed To Score 11
2.93 Shots On Goal 6.11
9.07 Total Shots 16.31
3.8 Corners 5.39
44.1% Ball Possession 58.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Chico 4-1-4-1 / Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W D L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D D L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L L D L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W L W W
18
Chico Home
19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification