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31.10.2026 15:00
Deva Stadium

Chester vs Hednesford Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
62.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chester Win 40%
Draw 22.4%
Hednesford Town Win 37.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chester1.3
Hednesford Town1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chester Chester
L W L W W
9 GF / 9 GA
Hednesford Town Hednesford Town
W W W W L
10 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
8
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chester Chester 21 matches
Hednesford Town Hednesford Town 16 matches
Chester Statistic Hednesford Town
11 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 6
26 Goals For 26
20 Goals Against 22
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
8 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hednesford Town. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hednesford Town having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Hednesford Town look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Chester Analysis

Chester approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 20 points from 12 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 15:12, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Hednesford Town Analysis

Hednesford Town sit 6 with 21 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 23:19 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)

Standings

National League N/S: North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 24:7 17 26
W L D W W
2 12 7 3 2 22:8 14 24
D W D W L
3 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
L W W D D
4 12 7 2 3 21:18 3 23
W L L W L
5 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
D D W W W
6 13 6 3 4 23:19 4 21
W W W W L
7 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
L W W L L
8 13 6 2 5 23:23 0 20
W D L L W
9 12 6 1 5 16:16 0 19
W L D L W
10 13 5 4 4 18:23 -5 19
D L L D W
11 12 5 2 5 18:12 6 17
W L D W L
12 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
L L L W W
13 12 5 2 5 20:21 -1 17
L W W L W
14 13 5 2 6 15:20 -5 17
D D W L W
15 12 5 1 6 14:13 1 16
D W W W L
16 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D W L D L
17 13 4 3 6 19:18 1 15
L W L D D
18 13 3 6 4 15:16 -1 15
L D D L D
19 13 5 0 8 16:21 -5 15
W W W L L
20 13 4 3 6 15:24 -9 15
L L W W D
21 13 3 4 6 13:20 -7 13
D W L L D
22 13 3 2 8 17:24 -7 11
W L D D L
23 13 2 4 7 13:23 -10 10
D L L D L
24 12 1 4 7 12:26 -14 7
L L D D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation