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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
10.10.2026 14:00
Whaddon Road

Cheltenham vs Salford City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cheltenham Win 48.5%
Draw 8.2%
Salford City Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cheltenham1.5
Salford City1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WWDLW
19 GF / 16 GA
Salford City Salford City
WLDWL
24 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
8
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cheltenham Cheltenham 11 matches
Salford City Salford City 13 matches
Cheltenham Statistic Salford City
5 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
19 Goals For 24
16 Goals Against 15
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
8 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.11
9.22 Total Shots 15.44
4.11 Corners 6.78
44.4% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Salford City look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Salford City in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Salford City having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Salford City. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cheltenham Analysis

Placed 4 with 15 points from 9 outings, Cheltenham continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 16:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. McCann (5 goals), A. Weimann (4 goals), R. Broom (2 goals), with creative support from A. Weimann (1 assists), R. Broom (1 assists), J. Tomkinson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Salford City Analysis

Salford City approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 16 points after 9 outings. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:10, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Powell (3 goals), M. Langstaff (2 goals), L. Molyneux (1 goals), with creative support from L. Molyneux (3 assists), J. Powell (1 assists), K. N’Mai (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 5 times, Salford City won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:9 from Cheltenham's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Cheltenham 4-2-3-1 / Salford City 5-3-2
H2H summary: Cheltenham wins 5, draws 2, Salford City wins 2

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 13:10 3 16
W W W D W
2 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
3 9 3 6 0 11:7 4 15
W D D D D
4 9 4 3 2 16:14 2 15
L W D W D
5 9 5 0 4 14:14 0 15
L W L L W
6 8 4 2 2 16:10 6 14
W L W D L
7 8 3 5 0 11:5 6 14
D W D D D
8 9 4 2 3 15:12 3 14
W L W W D
9 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 13
L L W W D
10 9 3 4 2 11:9 2 13
D L W W W
11 9 4 1 4 10:11 -1 13
W W W D L
12 9 2 5 2 12:12 0 11
L D D L W
13 9 3 2 4 9:13 -4 11
L D L L W
14 9 3 2 4 9:14 -5 11
W D D W L
15 9 2 4 3 12:12 0 10
D W D D L
16 9 2 4 3 13:14 -1 10
W D D L W
17 9 2 4 3 11:12 -1 10
L D W D L
18 9 2 4 3 9:10 -1 10
L L L D W
19 8 2 4 2 10:12 -2 10
D D D L L
20 9 2 3 4 5:6 -1 9
W L D L D
21 8 2 1 5 9:13 -4 7
L L L L D
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League