Cheltenham vs Chesterfield Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
64.8%
|
1.67 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.74 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75%
|
1.28 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Cheltenham
Chesterfield
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cheltenham
9 matches
Chesterfield
10 matches
| Cheltenham | Statistic | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 17 | Goals For | 13 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.14 | Shots On Goal | 5.43 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 16.29 |
| 4.71 | Corners | 4.14 |
| 44.3% | Ball Possession | 55.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cheltenham's more proactive style and Chesterfield's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chesterfield. Cheltenham arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 11 points compared to Chesterfield in 12 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Chesterfield in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chesterfield having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Placed 4 with 11 points from 6 outings, Cheltenham continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 13:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. McCann (4 goals), A. Weimann (2 goals), R. Broom (2 goals), with creative support from A. Weimann (1 assists), P. Sweeney (1 assists), J. Shipley (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Chesterfield sit 12 with 8 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Bonis (2 goals), L. Marsh (2 goals), D. Markanday (1 goals), with creative support from L. Bonis (1 assists), J. Koroma (1 assists), A. Pond (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 3 times, Chesterfield won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:15 from Cheltenham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 |
Cheltenham
Home
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Chesterfield
Away
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|