ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
26.09.2026 14:00
Whaddon Road
Cheltenham
Match Timeline
Chesterfield
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Pierce Sweeney
Cheltenham
⚽
17'
Charlie McCann · Assist: Ryan Broom
Cheltenham
⚽
37'
Andreas Weimann · Assist: Jonathan Tomkinson
Cheltenham
⚽
49'
Louie Marsh
Chesterfield
🟨
55'
Jordan Shipley
Cheltenham
🔄
59'
Jake Evans ↔ James Wilson
Cheltenham
🔄
70'
Lee Bonis ↔ F. Bryden
Chesterfield
🔄
78'
Pierce Sweeney ↔ George Miller
Cheltenham
🔄
78'
Joel Randall ↔ Liam Mandeville
Chesterfield
🔄
78'
Lewis Gordon ↔ Tom Pearce
Chesterfield
🔄
78'
George McEachran ↔ Kiano Dyer
Chesterfield
🟨
84'
Andreas Weimann
Cheltenham
🔄
86'
Andreas Weimann ↔ Jake Bickerstaff
Cheltenham
🔄
87'
Ryan Broom ↔ K. Otchere
Cheltenham
🔄
87'
Jordan Shipley ↔ Freddie willcox
Cheltenham
🔄
87'
Louie Marsh ↔ Tom Naylor
Chesterfield
🟨
89'
Freddie willcox
Cheltenham

Cheltenham vs Chesterfield Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.8%
1.67 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.74 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75%
1.28 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cheltenham Win 45.6%
Draw 19.2%
Chesterfield Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cheltenham1.61
Chesterfield1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
Chesterfield Chesterfield
WLDWL
13 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
7
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
4
4.14
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cheltenham Cheltenham 9 matches
Chesterfield Chesterfield 10 matches
Cheltenham Statistic Chesterfield
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
2 Losses 3
17 Goals For 13
13 Goals Against 12
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
7 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
4.14 Shots On Goal 5.43
10 Total Shots 16.29
4.71 Corners 4.14
44.3% Ball Possession 55.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cheltenham's more proactive style and Chesterfield's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chesterfield. Cheltenham arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 11 points compared to Chesterfield in 12 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Chesterfield in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chesterfield having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cheltenham Analysis

Placed 4 with 11 points from 6 outings, Cheltenham continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 13:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. McCann (4 goals), A. Weimann (2 goals), R. Broom (2 goals), with creative support from A. Weimann (1 assists), P. Sweeney (1 assists), J. Shipley (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Chesterfield Analysis

Chesterfield sit 12 with 8 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Bonis (2 goals), L. Marsh (2 goals), D. Markanday (1 goals), with creative support from L. Bonis (1 assists), J. Koroma (1 assists), A. Pond (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 3 times, Chesterfield won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:15 from Cheltenham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)
Predicted formations: Cheltenham 4-1-4-1 / Chesterfield 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cheltenham wins 3, draws 2, Chesterfield wins 5

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 13:10 3 16
W W W D W
2 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
3 9 3 6 0 11:7 4 15
W D D D D
4 9 4 3 2 16:14 2 15
L W D W D
5 9 5 0 4 14:14 0 15
L W L L W
6 8 4 2 2 16:10 6 14
W L W D L
7 8 3 5 0 11:5 6 14
D W D D D
8 9 4 2 3 15:12 3 14
W L W W D
9 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 13
L L W W D
10 9 3 4 2 11:9 2 13
D L W W W
11 9 4 1 4 10:11 -1 13
W W W D L
12 9 2 5 2 12:12 0 11
L D D L W
13 9 3 2 4 9:13 -4 11
L D L L W
14 9 3 2 4 9:14 -5 11
W D D W L
15 9 2 4 3 12:12 0 10
D W D D L
16 9 2 4 3 13:14 -1 10
W D D L W
17 9 2 4 3 11:12 -1 10
L D W D L
18 9 2 4 3 9:10 -1 10
L L L D W
19 8 2 4 2 10:12 -2 10
D D D L L
20 9 2 3 4 5:6 -1 9
W L D L D
21 8 2 1 5 9:13 -4 7
L L L L D
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League