Chelsea
Match Timeline
AC Milan
Chelsea vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
48.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
73.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 48.4%
Draw 16.5%
AC Milan Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea2
AC Milan1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
7 GF / 7 GA
AC Milan
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
3 matches
AC Milan
2 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 7 | Goals For | 3 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 5 times, AC Milan won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:2 from Chelsea's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 3-4-2-1 / AC Milan 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 5, draws 0, AC Milan wins 0