FRANCE NATIONAL 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Gaston Petit
Chateauroux
Match Timeline
Fleury 91
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
L. Hervieu · Assist: K. Farade
Fleury 91
🟨
13'
A. Goncalves
Chateauroux
🟨
44'
H. Karamoko
Fleury 91
57'
J. Rivas · Assist: V. Lavigne
Fleury 91
🔄
63'
I. Bouaoune ↔ G. Traore
Chateauroux
🔄
63'
N. Mupemba ↔ L. Piquionne
Chateauroux
🔄
63'
P. Wade ↔ Y. Verdier
Chateauroux
🔄
63'
N. Homssa ↔ M. Jean-Pierre
Fleury 91
🟨
65'
J. Rivas
Fleury 91
🔄
75'
V. Lavigne ↔ Y. Le Mehaute
Fleury 91
🔄
76'
T. Plisson ↔ H. Aubourg
Fleury 91
🔄
78'
J. Koembo ↔ L. Diakhaby
Chateauroux
🔄
82'
S. Lambese ↔ E. Bovis
Fleury 91
🔄
82'
K. Farade ↔ M. Belliard
Fleury 91
🟨
83'
G. Kelo
Chateauroux
🟨
86'
A. Djaha
Chateauroux
🟨
90+3'
E. Bovis
Fleury 91

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Chateauroux Win 15.9%
Draw 10.5%
Fleury 91 Win 73.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chateauroux1.03
Fleury 911.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chateauroux Chateauroux
WWDLW
32 GF / 47 GA
Fleury 91 Fleury 91
WLDWL
42 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
16
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chateauroux Chateauroux 30 matches
Fleury 91 Fleury 91 29 matches
Chateauroux Statistic Fleury 91
5 Wins 13
12 Draws 10
13 Losses 6
32 Goals For 42
47 Goals Against 28
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
16 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 12
12 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Fleury 91's more proactive style and Chateauroux's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Fleury 91 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 48 points while Chateauroux sit 16 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fleury 91 having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fleury 91. Chateauroux have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Chateauroux Analysis

Chateauroux approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 24 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats with a 29:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Piquionne (4 goals), D. Diarra (3 goals), I. Bouaoune (3 goals), with creative support from S. Dembele (5 assists), R. Freitas (3 assists), L. Piquionne (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fleury 91 Analysis

Fleury 91 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 48 points after 28 outings. The return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 38:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Farade (17 goals), J. Rivas (4 goals), C. Badin (3 goals), with creative support from K. Farade (5 assists), J. Rivas (4 assists), V. Lavigne (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Chateauroux won 0 times, Fleury 91 won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Chateauroux's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
H2H summary: Chateauroux wins 0, draws 1, Fleury 91 wins 1

Lineups

Chateauroux
Formation
Fleury 91
L. Lavallee
L. Lavallee
J. Koembo
J. Koembo
G. Kelo
G. Kelo
A. Goncalves
A. Goncalves
A. Djaha
A. Djaha
I. Bouaoune
I. Bouaoune
Y. Chahid
Y. Chahid
P. Wade
P. Wade
R. Freitas
R. Freitas
N. Mupemba
N. Mupemba
W. Boussaid
W. Boussaid
G. Alette
G. Alette
S. Lambese
S. Lambese
Q. Vogt
Q. Vogt
H. Karamoko
H. Karamoko
T. Plisson
T. Plisson
N. Homssa
N. Homssa
L. Hervieu
L. Hervieu
R. Leleve
R. Leleve
V. Lavigne
🎯
V. Lavigne
K. Farade
🎯
K. Farade
J. Rivas
J. Rivas
Chateauroux 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
L. Lavallee
12
J. Koembo
↓ 78'
6
G. Kelo
🟨 83'
24
A. Goncalves
🟨 13'
23
A. Djaha
🟨 86'
20
I. Bouaoune
↓ 63'
21
Y. Chahid
5
P. Wade
↓ 63'
10
R. Freitas
9
N. Mupemba
↓ 63'
27
W. Boussaid
Substitutes
30
M. Ba
29
L. Diakhaby
↑ 78'
25
G. Traore
↑ 63'
19
L. Piquionne
↑ 63'
14
Y. Verdier
↑ 63'
Fleury 91 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
G. Alette
7
S. Lambese
↓ 82'
4
Q. Vogt
26
H. Karamoko
🟨 44'
3
T. Plisson
↓ 76'
28
N. Homssa
↓ 63'
20
L. Hervieu
⚽ 3'
8
R. Leleve
17
V. Lavigne
🎯 57' ↓ 75'
19
K. Farade
🎯 3' ↓ 82'
9
J. Rivas
⚽ 57' 🟨 65'
Substitutes
5
H. Aubourg
↑ 76'
23
E. Bovis
↑ 82' 🟨 90+3'
25
M. Jean-Pierre
↑ 63'
10
Y. Le Mehaute
↑ 75'
14
M. Belliard
↑ 82'
Last matches: Chateauroux
15.05.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
2
2
D
09.05.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Sochaux
2
1
W
30.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Dijon
2
1
W
17.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Versailles
0
4
L
10.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Quevilly
3
5
L
03.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Aubagne
1
1
D
27.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Concarneau
3
1
W
17.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Stade Briochin
0
2
L
13.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Villefranche
0
1
L
06.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Caen
2
2
D
27.02.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Gobelins
0
1
L
13.02.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Rouen
1
2
L
06.02.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Orleans
2
2
D
30.01.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Le Puy Foot
0
2
L
23.01.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1
1
D
16.01.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Sochaux
0
1
L
12.12.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Dijon
0
0
D
05.12.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Fleury 91
0
0
D
29.11.25
Cou
Chateauroux
Vendée Fontenay
1
4
L
21.11.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Versailles
1
3
L
Last matches: Fleury 91
15.05.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Rouen
1
2
L
09.05.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Orleans
0
2
L
01.05.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Le Puy Foot
4
0
W
17.04.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Valenciennes
2
0
W
10.04.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Sochaux
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Dijon
3
1
W
27.03.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Bourg-en-bresse 01
3
0
W
20.03.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Versailles
1
1
D
13.03.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Quevilly
2
1
W
06.03.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Aubagne
2
1
W
27.02.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Concarneau
0
4
L
17.02.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Stade Briochin
3
2
W
13.02.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Villefranche
2
2
D
06.02.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Caen
0
1
L
30.01.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Gobelins
1
0
W
16.01.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Orleans
3
0
W
12.12.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Le Puy Foot
1
2
L
05.12.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Chateauroux
0
0
D
21.11.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Valenciennes
2
0
W
15.11.25
Cou
Fleury 91
APM Metz
2
2
D
H2H: Chateauroux vs Fleury 91
24.04.26
H2H
Chateauroux
Fleury 91
0
2
L
05.12.25
H2H
Fleury 91
Chateauroux
0
0
D
Last matches: Chateauroux
09.05.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Sochaux
2
1
W
10.04.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Quevilly
3
5
L
27.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Concarneau
3
1
W
13.03.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Villefranche
0
1
L
27.02.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Gobelins
0
1
L
13.02.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Rouen
1
2
L
30.01.26
Nat
Chateauroux
Le Puy Foot
0
2
L
12.12.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Dijon
0
0
D
21.11.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Versailles
1
3
L
31.10.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Aubagne
0
3
L
26.09.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Caen
2
1
W
12.09.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Stade Briochin
2
2
D
29.08.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Orleans
0
1
L
15.08.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
2
D
08.08.25
Nat
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
0
0
D
H2H at home: Chateauroux
24.04.26
H2H
Chateauroux
Fleury 91
0
2
L
Last matches: Fleury 91
09.05.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Orleans
0
2
L
10.04.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Sochaux
2
2
D
20.03.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Versailles
1
1
D
06.03.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Aubagne
2
1
W
17.02.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Stade Briochin
3
2
W
06.02.26
Nat
Fleury 91
Caen
0
1
L
12.12.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Le Puy Foot
1
2
L
21.11.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Valenciennes
2
0
W
15.11.25
Cou
Fleury 91
APM Metz
2
2
D
31.10.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Dijon
1
0
W
21.10.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
2
D
03.10.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Quevilly
1
1
D
19.09.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Concarneau
1
0
W
05.09.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Villefranche
3
0
W
22.08.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Gobelins
0
1
L
08.08.25
Nat
Fleury 91
Rouen
0
0
D
H2H away: Fleury 91
24.04.26
H2H
Chateauroux
Fleury 91
0
2
W

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
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