ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
10.10.2026 11:30
The Valley

Charlton vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Charlton Win 49.1%
Draw 9.8%
Bristol City Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlton1.02
Bristol City1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlton Charlton
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
Bristol City Bristol City
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
5
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
8
2.63
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlton Charlton 14 matches
Bristol City Bristol City 16 matches
Charlton Statistic Bristol City
6 Wins 7
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 5
12 Goals For 23
16 Goals Against 20
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
5 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
2.63 Shots On Goal 4.63
9.63 Total Shots 14.25
4.38 Corners 5.25
38% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Bristol City. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Charlton Analysis

Charlton sit 9 with 12 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Jones (2 goals), K. Ahearne-Grant (1 goals), T. Campbell (1 goals), with creative support from K. Ahearne-Grant (1 assists), Tyler Bindon (1 assists), S. Carey (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bristol City Analysis

Bristol City sit 8 with 13 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:12 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Tolaj (2 goals), D. Ballard (2 goals), J. Knight (1 goals), with creative support from Rio Cardines (5 assists), J. Wallace (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Charlton won 3 times, Bristol City won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Charlton's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Charlton 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Charlton wins 3, draws 2, Bristol City wins 3

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One