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BRAZIL › SERIE A
12.09.2026 20:00
Arena Condá
Referee: Flavio Rodrigues De Souza, Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
Match Timeline
Internacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
Bruno Henrique · Assist: Johan Carbonero
Internacional
🟨
44'
Johan Carbonero
Internacional
⚽
45+1'
Maurício Garcez · Assist: Marcinho
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
45+3'
Marcinho
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
49'
Eduardo Doma
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
64'
Camilo
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
65'
Miguel Carvalho ↔ Yannick Bolasie
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
65'
Bruno Henrique ↔ João Victor Alves de Morais Francisco
Internacional
⚽
67'
Johan Carbonero
Internacional
🟨
74'
João Victor Alves de Morais Francisco
Internacional
🟨
75'
Yannick Bolasie
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
76'
Everton ↔ Bruno Matias
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
76'
Yago Felipe ↔ Rubens Tadeu
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
78'
Bruno Gomes
Internacional
🔄
85'
Johan Carbonero ↔ Niclas Eliasson
Internacional
🔄
85'
Bruno Gomes ↔ Jose Juninho
Internacional
🔄
90'
Camilo ↔ Dylan Borrero
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
90'
Bruno Pacheco ↔ Fernando
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
90'
Alan Patrick ↔ Antonio Sanabria
Internacional
🔄
90'
Paulinho Paula ↔ Ronaldo
Internacional

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.9%
Odds 3.47
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.9%
3.47 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.88 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Chapecoense-sc Win 50.9%
Draw 11.3%
Internacional Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chapecoense-sc1.2
Internacional1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
WWDLW
29 GF / 51 GA
Internacional Internacional
WLDWL
28 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
17
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
10
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 matches
Internacional Internacional 26 matches
Chapecoense-sc Statistic Internacional
4 Wins 5
8 Draws 10
14 Losses 11
29 Goals For 28
51 Goals Against 34
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
17 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 8
3.6 Shots On Goal 4.5
12.88 Total Shots 15.12
3.96 Corners 6.35
42% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Internacional. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chapecoense-sc expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Internacional in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Internacional having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Chapecoense-sc Analysis

Chapecoense-sc sit 20 with 14 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 25:49, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Marcinho (3 goals), Walter Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), with creative support from Giovanni Augusto (4 assists), Bruno Pacheco (3 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 25 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 26:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Johan Carbonero (6 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (4 goals), Alan Patrick (4 goals), with creative support from Johan Carbonero (3 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 5 times, Internacional won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Chapecoense-sc's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: Chapecoense-sc 4-2-3-1 / Internacional 5-3-2
Missing players: Chapecoense-sc 8, Internacional 8
H2H summary: Chapecoense-sc wins 5, draws 2, Internacional wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 28 12 7 9 37:32 5 43
W D W L W
8 28 11 8 9 43:41 2 41
W W W W W
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 29 10 7 12 34:33 1 37
D L L D L
11 28 10 6 12 33:32 1 36
L W L W W
12 29 10 6 13 32:42 -10 36
W L D W L
13 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
14 29 8 9 12 34:43 -9 33
D W D W L
15 29 8 8 13 30:34 -4 32
L L L L L
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 29 7 10 12 32:37 -5 31
W L W L L
18 29 7 9 13 31:39 -8 30
D D L L L
19 29 5 9 15 33:48 -15 24
D L L L L
20 28 3 9 16 29:57 -28 18
L D L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B