Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
74.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chapecoense-sc
29 matches
Atletico Paranaense
30 matches
| Chapecoense-sc | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 14 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 15 | Losses | 9 |
| 32 | Goals For | 44 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.44 | Shots On Goal | 4.93 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 12.29 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 4.71 |
| 42.5% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atletico Paranaense's more proactive style and Chapecoense-sc's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atletico Paranaense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 49 points while Chapecoense-sc sit 20 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chapecoense-sc expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Paranaense in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Paranaense having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Paranaense.
Chapecoense-sc sit 20 with 18 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 29:53, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Marcinho (5 goals), Walter Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), with creative support from Giovanni Augusto (4 assists), Bruno Pacheco (3 assists), Marcinho (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atletico Paranaense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 49 points after 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 43:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Viveros (18 goals), S. Mendoza (4 goals), Leozinho (4 goals), with creative support from João Cruz (5 assists), G. Benavídez (5 assists), L. Esquivel (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 1 times, Atletico Paranaense won 4 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from Chapecoense-sc's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
Home
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|