CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
84.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
76%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
CF Montreal
19 matches
Toronto FC
19 matches
| CF Montreal | Statistic | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 32 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 2.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.93 | Shots On Goal | 4.64 |
| 13.64 | Total Shots | 11.86 |
| 5.14 | Corners | 5.64 |
| 48.1% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Toronto FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CF Montreal expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Toronto FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Toronto FC having the stronger overall control. Toronto FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
So far, CF Montreal have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 14 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 22:31 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Owusu (9 goals), W. Carmona (4 goals), D. Rios (2 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (4 assists), M. Longstaff (3 assists), W. Carmona (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without B. Hidalgo, W. Carmona, P. Owusu, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Toronto FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 14 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 22:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Salloi (4 goals), Emilio Aristizábal (3 goals), J. Sargent (3 goals), with creative support from D. Salloi (3 assists), A. Coello (3 assists), Jonathan Osorio (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Matheus Pereira, L. Stefanovic, H. Wingo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 7 times, Toronto FC won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:27 from CF Montreal's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 11 | 48 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 14 | 46 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 9 | 43 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 10 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | -16 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | -17 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 33 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | -9 | 33 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Toronto FC
Away
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | -11 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | -4 | 29 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 27 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
CF Montreal
Home
|
28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | -21 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
L
|