Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro
13 matches
Deportivo Maldonado
13 matches
| Cerro | Statistic | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 8 | Goals For | 21 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 0.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Maldonado's more proactive style and Cerro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Maldonado. Deportivo Maldonado carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 23 points while Cerro sit 15 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Deportivo Maldonado in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Maldonado having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Cerro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 8:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Pandiani (4 goals), Alejo Macelli (3 goals), T. Correa (3 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 2 with 23 points from 13 outings, Deportivo Maldonado continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 21:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. M. Noble Sequeira (6 goals), Christian Tabó (4 goals), M. Espindola (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cerro won 1 times, Deportivo Maldonado won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Cerro's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Lineups
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Miramar
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo