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05.10.2026 22:15
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Referee: Mario Alberto Diaz De Vivar
Cerro Porteno
Match Timeline
2 de Mayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
Tobias Cervera · Assist: Alan Gómez
2 de Mayo
🟨
25'
Alan Gómez
2 de Mayo
🟨
45'
Gustavo Adolfo Costas Makeira
Cerro Porteno
🔄
45'
Jorge Morel ↔ Piris da Motta
Cerro Porteno
🔄
45'
Luis Delgadillo ↔ Marcos Gómez
2 de Mayo
🔄
60'
Jonathan Gabriel Torres ↔ Sergio Araujo
Cerro Porteno
🔄
60'
Juan Iturbe ↔ Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel
Cerro Porteno
⚽
61'
Alan Gómez · Assist: Marcos Gómez
2 de Mayo
🔄
65'
Carlos Rubén Chena Báez ↔ Cesar Bobadilla
Cerro Porteno
🟨
65'
Danilo Lerda
2 de Mayo
🔄
68'
Alan Gómez ↔ Pedro Delvalle
2 de Mayo
🔄
75'
Tobias Cervera ↔ F. Cáceres
2 de Mayo
🔄
75'
Cesar Castro ↔ Ulises Coronel
2 de Mayo
🔄
76'
Matías Moya ↔ Estifen Arnaldo Diaz Atienza
2 de Mayo
🔄
78'
Ignacio Aliseda ↔ Fabricio Domínguez
Cerro Porteno
🟨
81'
Estifen Arnaldo Diaz Atienza
2 de Mayo

Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.4%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.07
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.4%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.07 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cerro Porteno Win 40%
Draw 13.6%
2 de Mayo Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro Porteno1.3
2 de Mayo0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WWDLW
52 GF / 35 GA
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
WLDWL
36 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.95
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
17
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
16
4.24
Shots on Goal
2.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 41 matches
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 38 matches
Cerro Porteno Statistic 2 de Mayo
20 Wins 12
9 Draws 14
12 Losses 12
52 Goals For 36
35 Goals Against 51
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
17 BTTS Yes 18
27 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 7
18 Clean Sheets 12
9 Failed To Score 12
4.24 Shots On Goal 2.84
12.32 Total Shots 10.34
4.51 Corners 3.5
53.3% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 2 de Mayo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Porteno expected to line up in 5-3-2 and 2 de Mayo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 2 de Mayo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cerro Porteno Analysis

Cerro Porteno sit 8 with 17 points after 12 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:12 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Vegetti (6 goals), I. Ramírez (2 goals), J. Morel (2 goals), with creative support from I. Aliseda (3 assists), G. Benítez (1 assists), A. Gamarra (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

2 de Mayo Analysis

2 de Mayo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 22 points from 12 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ó. Romero (3 goals), F. Cáceres (2 goals), Á. Aguilera (1 goals), with creative support from Ó. Romero (1 assists), F. Cáceres (1 assists), Á. Aguilera (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteno won 3 times, 2 de Mayo won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Cerro Porteno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Cerro Porteno 5-3-2 / 2 de Mayo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cerro Porteno wins 3, draws 6, 2 de Mayo wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 22:10 12 26
D W W W W
2 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
4 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
5 13 7 2 4 23:13 10 23
W W L W L
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
8 13 5 2 6 15:14 1 17
L L W D W
9 13 4 1 8 14:24 -10 13
L L W L L
10 13 3 3 7 15:24 -9 12
W D L L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 3 10 4:22 -18 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)