URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Parque Palermo
Referee: H. Heras
Central Espanol
Match Timeline
Racing Montevideo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
S. Da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🟨
23'
E. Da Silva
Racing Montevideo
🟨
45+3'
A. Villoldo
Central Espanol
🔄
57'
S. Navarro ↔ M. Cantera
Central Espanol
🔄
57'
L. Pino ↔ D. Vera
Central Espanol
62'
R. Tarragona
Central Espanol
🟨
64'
Rodolfo
Central Espanol
67'
D. Vera
Central Espanol
🔄
68'
J. Bosca ↔ A. Alvarez Wallace
Racing Montevideo
🔄
68'
R. Dudok ↔ F. Suarez
Racing Montevideo
🟨
74'
F. Munoz
Central Espanol
🔄
77'
E. De Los Santos ↔ Y. Oyarzo
Racing Montevideo
🔄
77'
M. Ferreira ↔ N. Sosa
Racing Montevideo
🔄
78'
F. Sosa ↔ J. Dupont
Central Espanol
🔄
87'
M. Aguilera ↔ R. Muniz
Central Espanol
🔄
87'
S. Da Silva ↔ B. Tomatis
Racing Montevideo
🟨
90'
Brazionis
Racing Montevideo
🟨
90+6'
M. Cantera
Central Espanol

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Espanol Win 27.8%
Draw 3.2%
Racing Montevideo Win 69%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Espanol1.24
Racing Montevideo1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Espanol Central Espanol
WWDLW
21 GF / 22 GA
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo
WLDWL
23 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
9
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Espanol Central Espanol 14 matches
Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 14 matches
Central Espanol Statistic Racing Montevideo
6 Wins 9
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 1
21 Goals For 23
22 Goals Against 12
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
9 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Racing Montevideo's more proactive style and Central Espanol's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Racing Montevideo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Racing Montevideo. Racing Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Central Espanol sit 6 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Central Espanol Analysis

So far, Central Espanol have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 21 points from 14 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Tarragona (5 goals), I. Rodriguez (3 goals), F. Munoz (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Racing Montevideo Analysis

Racing Montevideo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 31 points after 14 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 23:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on T. Habib (4 goals), F. Alvarez (2 goals), G. Cotugno (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Central Espanol won 4 times, Racing Montevideo won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:10 from Central Espanol's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.77 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
Predicted formations: Central Espanol - / Racing Montevideo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Central Espanol wins 4, draws 6, Racing Montevideo wins 3

Lineups

Central Espanol
Formation
Racing Montevideo
Rodolfo
Rodolfo
S. Navarro
S. Navarro
I. Rodriguez
I. Rodriguez
A. Villoldo
A. Villoldo
Cesar Nunes
Cesar Nunes
I. Mendez
I. Mendez
F. Munoz
F. Munoz
L. Pino
L. Pino
F. Sosa
F. Sosa
M. Aguilera
M. Aguilera
R. Tarragona
R. Tarragona
F. Varese
F. Varese
G. Cotugno
G. Cotugno
Brazionis
Brazionis
M. Ferreira
M. Ferreira
F. Alvarez
F. Alvarez
E. De Los Santos
E. De Los Santos
J. Bosca
J. Bosca
F. Cairus
F. Cairus
R. Dudok
R. Dudok
E. Da Silva
E. Da Silva
S. Da Silva
S. Da Silva
Central Espanol 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
39
Rodolfo
🟨 64'
5
S. Navarro
↓ 57'
2
I. Rodriguez
14
A. Villoldo
🟨 45+3'
26
Cesar Nunes
16
I. Mendez
7
F. Munoz
🟨 74'
21
L. Pino
↓ 57'
27
F. Sosa
↓ 78'
32
M. Aguilera
↓ 87'
9
R. Tarragona
⚽ 62'
Substitutes
12
S. Rodriguez
22
E. Aramburu
15
M. Cantera
↑ 57' 🟨 90+6'
3
J. Dupont
↑ 78'
11
L. Gandulfo
28
S. Sanchez
18
F. Yocco
10
R. Muniz
↑ 87'
23
I. Gonella
20
D. Vera
⚽ 67' ↑ 57'
Racing Montevideo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
F. Varese
4
G. Cotugno
3
Brazionis
🟨 90'
17
M. Ferreira
↓ 77'
13
F. Alvarez
14
E. De Los Santos
↓ 77'
5
J. Bosca
↓ 68'
8
F. Cairus
19
R. Dudok
↓ 68'
10
E. Da Silva
🟨 23'
33
S. Da Silva
↓ 87' 🟨 11'
Substitutes
1
F. Machado
21
A. Alvarez Wallace
↑ 68'
37
Y. Oyarzo
↑ 77'
7
J. Varela
27
L. Loprete
40
A. Atum
15
D. Cheuquepal
77
B. Tomatis
↑ 87'
11
F. Suarez
↑ 68'
23
N. Sosa
↑ 77'
Last matches: Central Espanol
06.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Boston River
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Albion FC
1
6
L
12.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Danubio
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
24.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Wanderers
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Progreso
3
0
W
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
26.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
4
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
07.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
2
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
1
2
L
H2H: Central Espanol vs Racing Montevideo
06.06.26
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
09.05.26
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
2
0
W
10.09.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
19.06.22
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
0
L
20.03.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
03.12.21
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
01.12.21
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
28.10.21
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
15.07.21
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
0
L
27.11.20
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
3
1
W
03.10.20
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
1
W
24.03.13
H2H
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
1
W
30.09.12
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
Last matches: Central Espanol
06.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Danubio
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Wanderers
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
2
1
W
H2H at home: Central Espanol
06.06.26
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
09.05.26
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
2
0
W
10.09.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
20.03.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
01.12.21
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
28.10.21
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
27.11.20
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
3
1
W
30.09.12
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
Last matches: Racing Montevideo
06.06.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Albion FC
3
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
1
1
D
07.11.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Miramar
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
11.10.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
CA River Plate
3
2
W
07.09.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
0
3
L
24.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
0
4
L
10.08.25
Pri
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
2
1
W
H2H away: Racing Montevideo
06.06.26
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
09.05.26
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
2
0
L
10.09.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
W
20.03.22
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
01.12.21
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
28.10.21
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
27.11.20
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
3
1
L
30.09.12
H2H
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 35:20 15 39
W W D W W
2 19 10 7 2 25:15 10 37
D D D W L
3 19 11 3 5 28:18 10 36
W L W W W
4 19 9 5 5 29:20 9 32
W L L D W
5 19 10 1 8 31:26 5 31
W L W W W
6 19 9 4 6 27:25 2 31
D W L W W
7 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
D W D D W
9 19 6 7 6 22:20 2 25
D W D L L
10 19 7 3 9 21:20 1 24
D W W L L
11 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
D D L L L
12 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
D L L W L
13 19 4 8 7 20:27 -7 20
D D L L L
14 19 5 4 10 23:30 -7 19
D L L W W
15 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
L W L L L
16 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13
L L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)