Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
68.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Celta Vigo
54 matches
Sevilla
40 matches
| Celta Vigo | Statistic | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 14 |
| 16 | Draws | 7 |
| 17 | Losses | 19 |
| 78 | Goals For | 52 |
| 69 | Goals Against | 62 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 35 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 45 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 28 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.04 | Shots On Goal | 3.6 |
| 10.35 | Total Shots | 11.28 |
| 3.8 | Corners | 4.83 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 50.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Celta Vigo's more proactive style and Sevilla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sevilla. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Celta Vigo expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sevilla in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sevilla having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Celta Vigo sit 6 with 51 points after 37 league matches. The record of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 52:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Iglesias (14 goals), Ferran Jutglà (9 goals), Iago Aspas (5 goals), with creative support from J. Rueda (6 assists), Williot Swedberg (5 assists), Óscar Mingueza (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
So far, Sevilla have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 43 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, while the 46:59 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Adams (10 goals), D. Sow (5 goals), A. Sanchez (4 goals), with creative support from R. Vargas (6 assists), D. Sow (4 assists), A. Adams (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Celta Vigo won 6 times, Sevilla won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Celta Vigo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Celta Vigo
3
2
8
5
1
2
Lineups
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Levante
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Elche
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Girona
Celta Vigo
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Espanyol
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Villarreal
Sevilla
Espanyol
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
Osasuna
Sevilla
Levante
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Oviedo
Sevilla
Valencia
Sevilla
Barcelona
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Real Betis
Sevilla
Getafe
Sevilla
Alaves
Sevilla
Girona
Sevilla
Mallorca
Sevilla
Athletic Club
Sevilla
Elche
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Levante
Celta Vigo
Levante
Celta Vigo
Elche
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Celta Vigo
Lille
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Bologna
Celta Vigo
Espanyol
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
Nice
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Villarreal
Sevilla
Osasuna
Sevilla
Levante
Sevilla
Oviedo
Sevilla
Barcelona
Sevilla
Real Betis
Sevilla
Getafe
Sevilla
Mallorca
Sevilla
Elche
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Alaves
Sevilla
Valencia
Sevilla
Extremadura 1924
Sevilla
Espanyol
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Toledo
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Alaves
Sevilla
Girona
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
Home
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Sevilla
Away
|
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|