Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
70.6%
|
1.44 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.72 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.61 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
13.00 |
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ceilândia
10 matches
Luverdense
10 matches
| Ceilândia | Statistic | Luverdense |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 9 | Goals For | 11 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Luverdense's more proactive style and Ceilândia's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Luverdense. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Luverdense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Ceilândia enter this tie with a season profile built on 12 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. The return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 9:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Julen (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.
Luverdense come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 15 points from 10 matches. The return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 11:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Pedro Bortoluzo (4 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ceilândia won 1 times, Luverdense won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Ceilândia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Ceilândia
Mixto
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
Mixto
Ceilândia
Barra
Ceilândia
Barra
Ceilândia
Água Santa
Ceilândia
Água Santa
Ceilândia
Goianésia
Ceilândia
Goiânia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Mixto
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Inhumas
Luverdense
Brasiliense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Gama
Luverdense
Gama
Luverdense
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Brasiliense
Luverdense
Inhumas
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
Goiânia
Luverdense
Goianésia
Luverdense
Mixto
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Porto Velho
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Ceilândia
Goiatuba EC
Ceilândia
CEOV Operário
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
Mixto
Ceilândia
Barra
Ceilândia
Água Santa
Ceilândia
Goianésia
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Mixto
Ceilândia
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Goiânia
Luverdense
Brasiliense
Luverdense
Primavera MG
Luverdense
Gama
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Inhumas
Luverdense
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
Goianésia
Luverdense
Ceilândia
Luverdense
Porto Velho
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Mixto
Luverdense
Goiânia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 23 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 19 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 |
Ceilândia
Home
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 9 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
W
|