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BRAZIL › SERIE B
26.04.2026 21:00
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: Yuri Elino Ferreira Da Cruz, Brazil
Ceara
Match Timeline
Vila Nova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
Rafa Silva · Assist: Janderson
Vila Nova
⚽
15'
Lucas Lima
Ceara
🟨
23'
Wendel Silva
Ceara
🔄
28'
Wendel Silva ↔ Lucca
Ceara
⚽
44'
Matheus Araujo · Assist: Melk
Ceara
⚽
45'
Matheus Araujo · Assist: Lucca
Ceara
🔄
46'
Caio Marcelo ↔ Hayner
Vila Nova
🔄
46'
Elias ↔ Anderson Jesus
Vila Nova
🟨
52'
Willian Formiga
Vila Nova
🔄
57'
Willian Formiga ↔ Higor
Vila Nova
🟨
58'
Willian Maranhão
Vila Nova
VAR
60'
Higor
Vila Nova
🔄
63'
Fernandinho ↔ Pedro Henrique
Ceara
⚽
63'
Joao Vieira
Vila Nova
⚽
67'
Rafa Silva
Vila Nova
🔄
69'
Matheus Araujo ↔ Juan Alano
Ceara
🔄
69'
Lucas Lima ↔ Julio Cesar
Ceara
🔄
69'
Vinicius Zanocelo ↔ Joao Gabriel
Ceara
🔄
77'
Willian Maranhao ↔ Nathan Camargo
Vila Nova
🟨
83'
Tiago Pagnussat
Vila Nova
🔄
84'
Tiago Pagnussat ↔ Samuel Lucas
Vila Nova

Ceara vs Vila Nova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ceara Win 32.1%
Draw 23.5%
Vila Nova Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceara1
Vila Nova1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceara Ceara
WWDLW
5 GF / 2 GA
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
4
0
Over 2.5
3
4.6
Shots on Goal
3.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceara Ceara 5 matches
Vila Nova Vila Nova 5 matches
Ceara Statistic Vila Nova
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
5 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
4.6 Shots On Goal 3.2
13 Total Shots 11.4
4.4 Corners 3.8
43.6% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 6 times, Vila Nova won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:19 from Ceara's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.5%)
Predicted formations: Ceara 4-2-3-1 / Vila Nova 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ceara wins 6, draws 2, Vila Nova wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
14
Ceara Home
33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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