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BRAZIL › SERIE B
22.07.2026 22:30
FT
0 - 1
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: Paulo Schleich Vollkopf, Brazil
Ceara
Match Timeline
CRB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
João Gabriel
Ceara
🟨
38'
Éder
Ceara
🟨
43'
Lucas Mugni
Ceara
VAR
45+2'
Thiaguinho
CRB
⚽
45'
Mikael
CRB
🔄
46'
Giulio ↔ M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
Ceara
🔄
46'
Lucas Mugni ↔ Vina
Ceara
🔄
46'
Sanchez ↔ Savio
Ceara
🟨
53'
Lucas Lovat
CRB
🔄
63'
Lucas Lovat ↔ Reverson
CRB
🔄
63'
Danielzinho ↔ Geovane
CRB
🔄
71'
Bryan Borges ↔ Enzo Lodovico
Ceara
🟨
74'
Kevin
CRB
🟨
76'
Júlio César
Ceara
🔄
78'
Giovanni Pavani ↔ Juan Alano
Ceara
🔄
79'
Thiaguinho ↔ Guilherme Pato
CRB
🟨
88'
Vitor Caetano
CRB
🔄
88'
Dada Belmonte ↔ Vinicius Barata
CRB
🔄
88'
Pedro Castro ↔ De Lucca
CRB

Ceara vs CRB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ceara Win 36.5%
Draw 26.6%
CRB Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceara1.25
CRB1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceara Ceara
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
CRB CRB
WLDWL
28 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
9
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
12
3.72
Shots on Goal
5.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceara Ceara 18 matches
CRB CRB 18 matches
Ceara Statistic CRB
4 Wins 6
7 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
16 Goals For 28
21 Goals Against 32
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
9 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 12
1 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 4
3.72 Shots On Goal 5.61
13 Total Shots 16.5
5.89 Corners 5
50.1% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ceara have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward CRB. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ceara expected to line up in 3-5-2 and CRB in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CRB having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara sit 17 with 18 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 15:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Melk (4 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), Matheus Araújo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Júlio César (1 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

CRB Analysis

With 20 points from 17 games and a place of 15, CRB still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 26:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mikael (9 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Mikael (3 assists), Dadá Belmonte (2 assists), Diogo Hereda (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 5 times, CRB won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Ceara's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.4%)
Predicted formations: Ceara 3-5-2 / CRB 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Ceara wins 5, draws 4, CRB wins 6

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 16 9 7 54:27 27 57
W W D L D
4 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
5 32 15 8 9 33:28 5 53
L W W L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7
CRB Away
32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 32 11 9 12 39:40 -1 42
L D W L D
14
Ceara Home
32 11 9 12 35:39 -4 42
W W D W D
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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