CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
ATCO Field
Referee: C. Shaw-MacLaren
Cavalry FC
Match Timeline
York United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
A. Pearlman · Assist: T. Warschewski
Cavalry FC
51'
O. Antoniuk
Cavalry FC
61'
A. Musse · Assist: T. Warschewski
Cavalry FC
🔄
62'
K. Kibato ↔ M. Ferrari
York United
🔄
62'
J. Costa ↔ A. Almagro
York United
🟨
65'
C. Guzman
York United
🔄
66'
S. Camargo ↔ N. Myroniuk
Cavalry FC
🔄
66'
O. Antoniuk ↔ N. Edwards
Cavalry FC
68'
N. Edwards · Assist: E. Kobza
Cavalry FC
🔄
70'
B. Badibanga ↔ T. Skublak
York United
🔄
70'
O. Bassett ↔ L. Accettola
York United
🔄
73'
E. Kobza ↔ J. McGlinchey
Cavalry FC
🔄
73'
A. Musse ↔ C. Elva
Cavalry FC
🟨
74'
T. Skublak
York United
🔄
79'
H. Paton ↔ M. Henry
Cavalry FC
🔄
82'
O. Leon ↔ L. Singh
York United
86'
C. Elva · Assist: T. Warschewski
Cavalry FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.3%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cavalry FC Win 73.3%
Draw 4.6%
York United Win 22.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cavalry FC1.84
York United0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WWDLW
25 GF / 8 GA
York United York United
WLDWL
16 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
6
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
7
2.36
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 14 matches
York United York United 13 matches
Cavalry FC Statistic York United
9 Wins 4
3 Draws 4
2 Losses 5
25 Goals For 16
8 Goals Against 25
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
6 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
2.36 Shots On Goal 1.67
7.36 Total Shots 3.42
2.71 Corners 0.92
22.8% Ball Possession 14.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Cavalry FC's more proactive style and York United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors York United. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cavalry FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 27 points compared to York United in 7 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. York United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 27 points after 13 matches. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Elva (1 goals), G. Ntignee (1 goals), S. Camargo (1 goals), with creative support from C. Elva (1 assists), G. Ntignee (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

York United Analysis

With 13 points from 11 games and a place of 7, York United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:22, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cavalry FC won 10 times, York United won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:16 from Cavalry FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Cavalry FC 4-2-3-1 / York United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cavalry FC wins 10, draws 2, York United wins 3

Lineups

Cavalry FC
Formation
York United
N. Ingham
N. Ingham
A. Pearlman
A. Pearlman
D. Klomp
D. Klomp
A. Didic
A. Didic
L. Laing
L. Laing
A. Musse
A. Musse
S. Camargo
S. Camargo
E. Kobza
🎯
E. Kobza
O. Antoniuk
O. Antoniuk
H. Paton
H. Paton
T. Warschewski
🎯
T. Warschewski
I. Pavela
I. Pavela
R. Lopez
R. Lopez
C. Guzman
C. Guzman
O. Leon
O. Leon
J. Costa
J. Costa
S. Yeates
S. Yeates
O. Bassett
O. Bassett
K. Kibato
K. Kibato
B. Badibanga
B. Badibanga
J. Altobelli
J. Altobelli
S. Gonzales
S. Gonzales
Cavalry FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
N. Ingham
16
A. Pearlman
⚽ 17'
4
D. Klomp
55
A. Didic
15
L. Laing
7
A. Musse
⚽ 61' ↓ 73'
10
S. Camargo
↓ 66'
24
E. Kobza
🎯 68' ↓ 73'
19
O. Antoniuk
⚽ 51' ↓ 66'
8
H. Paton
↓ 79'
9
T. Warschewski
🎯 17' 🎯 61' 🎯 86'
Substitutes
21
J. Holliday
3
C. Ofori
30
J. McGlinchey
↑ 73'
14
C. Elva
⚽ 86' ↑ 73'
18
M. Henry
↑ 79'
28
N. Myroniuk
↑ 66'
17
N. Edwards
⚽ 68' ↑ 66'
York United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
I. Pavela
6
R. Lopez
8
C. Guzman
🟨 65'
4
O. Leon
↓ 82'
28
J. Costa
↓ 62'
7
S. Yeates
10
O. Bassett
↓ 70'
21
K. Kibato
↓ 62'
39
B. Badibanga
↓ 70'
18
J. Altobelli
9
S. Gonzales
Substitutes
3
L. Singh
↑ 82'
77
T. Skublak
↑ 70' 🟨 74'
16
M. Ferrari
↑ 62'
13
L. Accettola
↑ 70'
23
J. Cordova
11
A. Almagro
↑ 62'
17
A. Campos
Last matches: Cavalry FC
15.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
2
1
W
09.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
29.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
25.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
18.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
0
W
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
Last matches: York United
16.08.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
4
3
W
08.08.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
1
D
26.07.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
3
L
17.07.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H: Cavalry FC vs York United
02.08.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
5
0
W
10.06.26
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
W
25.04.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
4
1
W
05.09.25
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
3
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
0
1
L
08.06.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
2
W
21.09.24
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
0
2
W
17.08.24
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
1
2
W
13.07.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
1
2
L
18.05.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
2
D
23.09.23
H2H
York United
Cavalry FC
0
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
W
24.06.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
15.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
18.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
H2H at home: Cavalry FC
02.08.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
5
0
W
25.04.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
4
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
0
1
L
08.06.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
W
13.07.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
1
2
L
18.05.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
2
D
20.08.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
W
24.06.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
W
Last matches: York United
08.08.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
1
D
17.07.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
H2H away: York United
02.08.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
5
0
L
25.04.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
4
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
0
1
W
08.06.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
L
13.07.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
1
2
W
18.05.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
2
D
20.08.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
L
24.06.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
York United
2
1
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 2 3 27:13 14 38
W L L D W
2 17 11 4 2 33:10 23 37
W D W W L
3 18 9 3 6 31:30 1 30
W W W L W
4 18 8 3 7 26:21 5 27
L D W W W
5 17 5 3 9 25:32 -7 18
L L D W L
6 18 4 5 9 24:30 -6 17
L L D L D
7 15 4 5 6 20:34 -14 17
W D L L D
8 16 0 5 11 18:34 -16 5
D D L L L