CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
ATCO Field
Referee: B. Hoskins
Cavalry FC
Match Timeline
Supra du Quebec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
N. Edwards · Assist: A. Didic
Cavalry FC
🔄
8'
M. Baldisimo ↔ N. Myroniuk
Cavalry FC
VAR
38'
Abzi Diyaeddine
Supra du Quebec
🟨
39'
Abzi Diyaeddine
Supra du Quebec
🟨
43'
Levi Laing
Cavalry FC
🟨
53'
Sergio Camargo
Cavalry FC
55'
K. Ferdinand · Assist: S. Rea
Supra du Quebec
VAR
58'
Keesean Ferdinand
Supra du Quebec
🔄
71'
L. Laing ↔ C. Ofori
Cavalry FC
🔄
71'
S. Camargo ↔ J. McGlinchey
Cavalry FC
🔄
73'
C. Bayiha ↔ D. Choiniere
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
O. El Kalkouli ↔ L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
83'
N. Edwards ↔ O. Antoniuk
Cavalry FC
🔄
83'
C. Elva ↔ J. Herdman
Cavalry FC
VAR
88'
Jay Herdman
Cavalry FC
🟨
90+8'
Owen Antoniuk
Cavalry FC
🟨
90+4'
Amer Didic
Cavalry FC
VAR
90+9'
Owen Antoniuk
Cavalry FC
🟨
90+8'
Keesean Ferdinand
Supra du Quebec
VAR
90+10'
Loïc Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
90+11'
S. Mlah ↔ O. Boughanmi
Supra du Quebec
90'
A. Didic · Assist: A. Musse
Cavalry FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cavalry FC Win 70.2%
Draw 4.8%
Supra du Quebec Win 25%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cavalry FC1.83
Supra du Quebec1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 7 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
5
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
7
2.54
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 13 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 12 matches
Cavalry FC Statistic Supra du Quebec
8 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
23 Goals For 18
7 Goals Against 23
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
5 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 3
2.54 Shots On Goal 1.5
7.92 Total Shots 6.42
2.92 Corners 2.17
24.5% Ball Possession 27.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cavalry FC's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Supra du Quebec having the stronger overall control. Cavalry FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 23 points compared to Supra du Quebec in 5 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Supra du Quebec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cavalry FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 23 points after 10 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 19:5 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on T. Warschewski (5 goals), D. Klomp (3 goals), Goteh Ntignee (2 goals), with creative support from Goteh Ntignee (3 assists), T. Warschewski (2 assists), Sergio Camargo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 11 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Rea (4 goals), L. A. Kwemi (3 goals), M. Chretien (2 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (3 assists), D. Choiniere (2 assists), L. A. Kwemi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Cavalry FC won 2 times, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Cavalry FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Cavalry FC 4-4-2 / Supra du Quebec -
H2H summary: Cavalry FC wins 2, draws 1, Supra du Quebec wins 0

Lineups

Cavalry FC
Formation
Supra du Quebec
J. Holliday
J. Holliday
A. Pearlman
A. Pearlman
D. Klomp
D. Klomp
A. Didic
🎯
A. Didic
L. Laing
L. Laing
A. Musse
🎯
A. Musse
S. Camargo
S. Camargo
M. Baldisimo
M. Baldisimo
N. Edwards
N. Edwards
C. Elva
C. Elva
T. Warschewski
T. Warschewski
J. Milli
J. Milli
A. Sissoko
A. Sissoko
K. Ferdinand
K. Ferdinand
M. Chretien
M. Chretien
D. Abzi
D. Abzi
C. Bayiha
C. Bayiha
A. Biello
A. Biello
S. Mlah
S. Mlah
O. El Kalkouli
O. El Kalkouli
S. Rea
🎯
S. Rea
I. Conde
I. Conde
Cavalry FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
21
J. Holliday
G
16
A. Pearlman
D
4
D. Klomp
D
55
A. Didic
⚽ 90' 🎯 3' 🟨 90+4'
D
15
L. Laing
↓ 71' 🟨 43'
D
7
A. Musse
🎯 90'
M
10
S. Camargo
↓ 71' 🟨 53'
M
6
M. Baldisimo
↓ 8'
M
17
N. Edwards
⚽ 3' ↓ 83'
M
14
C. Elva
↓ 83'
F
9
T. Warschewski
F
Substitutes
41
C. De Sousa
G
3
C. Ofori
↑ 71'
19
O. Antoniuk
↑ 83'
30
J. McGlinchey
↑ 71'
11
J. Herdman
↑ 83'
F
18
M. Henry
M
28
N. Myroniuk
↑ 8'
M
Supra du Quebec 3-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
J. Milli
G
33
A. Sissoko
D
5
K. Ferdinand
⚽ 55'
4
M. Chretien
D
11
D. Abzi
🟨 39'
D
12
C. Bayiha
↓ 73'
M
6
A. Biello
M
24
S. Mlah
↓ 90+11'
M
8
O. El Kalkouli
↓ 73'
M
10
S. Rea
🎯 55'
F
99
I. Conde
F
Substitutes
80
M. Diop
G
7
D. Choiniere
↑ 73'
F
2
C. Auguste
M
64
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
M
20
O. Boughanmi
↑ 90+11'
M
9
L. A. Kwemi
↑ 73'
F
37
S. Deslandes
D
Last matches: Cavalry FC
15.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
2
1
W
09.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
02.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
0
W
25.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
18.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
0
W
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
19.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
2
3
L
16.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H: Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec
09.08.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
29.07.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
03.05.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
15.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
2
1
W
02.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
0
W
18.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
H2H at home: Cavalry FC
29.07.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
19.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
2
3
L
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H away: Supra du Quebec
29.07.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
2
1
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 2 3 27:13 14 38
W L L D W
2 17 11 4 2 33:10 23 37
W D W W L
3 18 9 3 6 31:30 1 30
W W W L W
4 18 8 3 7 26:21 5 27
L D W W W
5 17 5 3 9 25:32 -7 18
L L D W L
6 18 4 5 9 24:30 -6 17
L L D L D
7 15 4 5 6 20:34 -14 17
W D L L D
8 16 0 5 11 18:34 -16 5
D D L L L