Predictions & Statistics

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Castellón hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-0, so Almeria now have a 2-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Almeria controlled more possession in the first leg (55% against 45%). Castellón were also more accurate in attack, recording 6 shots on target to 3. Almeria circulated the ball more often, making 435 passes to 345 and completing 358. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Almeria. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Castellón expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Almeria in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Almeria having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Castellón won 3 times, Almeria won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Castellón's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.63 goals per game.