Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
76.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Casa Pia
Tondela
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Casa Pia
31 matches
Tondela
31 matches
| Casa Pia | Statistic | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 17 |
| 29 | Goals For | 23 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.74 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 2.74 | Shots On Goal | 3.39 |
| 8.61 | Total Shots | 10.48 |
| 3.77 | Corners | 4.06 |
| 41.5% | Ball Possession | 43.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tondela. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Casa Pia expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Tondela in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tondela having the stronger overall control.
Casa Pia sit 16 with 26 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats with a 29:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Cassiano (6 goals), Gaizka Larrazabal (3 goals), J. Livolant (3 goals), with creative support from J. Livolant (8 assists), Gaizka Larrazabal (4 assists), A. Conte (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 22 points from 31 games and a place of 17, Tondela still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 23:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Pedro Henryque (6 goals), Bebeto (2 goals), I. Cavaleiro (2 goals), with creative support from Rony Lopes (2 assists), Pedro Henryque (1 assists), Brayan Medina (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 1 times, Tondela won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Casa Pia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Casa Pia
Home
|
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
Tondela
Away
|
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|