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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
22.08.2026 11:30
Brunton Park
Referee: Gareth Thomas
Carlisle
Match Timeline
AFC Hornchurch
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
12'
J. Baldwin ↔ W. Greenidge
AFC Hornchurch
⚽
29'
M. Azeez
Carlisle
⚽
46'
H. Bunker · Assist: J. Ellis
Carlisle
⚽
51'
J. Kizzi · Assist: R. Inniss
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
63'
D. Ajiboye ↔ L. Skinner
Carlisle
🔄
63'
H. Hearn ↔ C. Pegrum
AFC Hornchurch
⚽
66'
H. Bunker · Assist: L. Duru
Carlisle
🔄
69'
L. Duru ↔ C. Harper
Carlisle
🔄
69'
J. Ellis ↔ J. Williams
Carlisle
⚽
75'
R. Linney
Carlisle
🔄
76'
B. Nicholson ↔ M. Feeney
Carlisle
🔄
76'
R. Linney ↔ S. Wearne
Carlisle
🔄
77'
J. Powell ↔ A. Yearwood
AFC Hornchurch
🟨
87'
J. Walker
AFC Hornchurch

Carlisle vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Carlisle Win 31.5%
Draw 17.5%
AFC Hornchurch Win 51.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carlisle1.52
AFC Hornchurch1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carlisle Carlisle
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
WLDWL
21 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.1
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Carlisle Carlisle 5 matches
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 10 matches
Carlisle Statistic AFC Hornchurch
2 Wins 7
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
10 Goals For 21
8 Goals Against 8
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.1
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle won 1 times, AFC Hornchurch won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Carlisle's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
H2H summary: Carlisle wins 1, draws 0, AFC Hornchurch wins 0

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation