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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
26.09.2026 14:00
Abbey Stadium
Referee: B. Toner
Cambridge United
Match Timeline
AFC Wimbledon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
Jayden Stockley · Assist: Andy Yiadom
AFC Wimbledon
🔄
36'
Dujuan Richards ↔ Zack Nelson
AFC Wimbledon
🔄
45'
Glenn McConnell ↔ Shayne Lavery
Cambridge United
🟨
52'
Andy Yiadom
AFC Wimbledon
🟨
59'
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
Cambridge United
🟨
62'
Kelland Watts
Cambridge United
🔄
74'
Callum Maycock ↔ Donnell McNeilly
AFC Wimbledon
🔄
79'
Owen Moxon ↔ George Hoddle
Cambridge United
🔄
79'
Gassan Ahadme ↔ Louis Appere
Cambridge United
⚽
90+1'
Zak·Bradshaw · Assist: Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
Cambridge United
🔄
90+2'
Aron Sasu ↔ Riley Horan
AFC Wimbledon
🟨
90+5'
Steve Seddon
AFC Wimbledon

Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.84
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.07
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.5%
1.84 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.95 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.07 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cambridge United Win 58.5%
Draw 11.2%
AFC Wimbledon Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cambridge United1.3
AFC Wimbledon0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cambridge United Cambridge United
WWDLW
18 GF / 12 GA
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
WLDWL
11 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
2.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cambridge United Cambridge United 12 matches
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 matches
Cambridge United Statistic AFC Wimbledon
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
18 Goals For 11
12 Goals Against 12
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 2.57
11.71 Total Shots 11
6 Corners 5.57
43.3% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Cambridge United's more proactive style and AFC Wimbledon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AFC Wimbledon. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cambridge United Analysis

Placed 4 with 11 points from 6 outings, Cambridge United continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 11:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Yahyai (2 goals), Z. Bradshaw (1 goals), K. Watts (1 goals), with creative support from Z. Bradshaw (1 assists), Callum Perry (1 assists), P. Mpanzu (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

AFC Wimbledon Analysis

AFC Wimbledon approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 11 points after 7 outings. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 5:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Hippolyte (3 goals), J. Stockley (2 goals), with creative support from J. Tilley (2 assists), J. Stockley (1 assists), Donnell McNeilly (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Cambridge United won 4 times, AFC Wimbledon won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Cambridge United's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Cambridge United 3-4-2-1 / AFC Wimbledon 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Cambridge United wins 4, draws 1, AFC Wimbledon wins 1

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 8 5 1 2 8:5 3 16
D W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W L D D W
4 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
5 8 4 1 3 17:10 7 13
W D L W L
6 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D W D W
7 8 3 3 2 17:10 7 12
D D W L W
8 9 3 3 3 14:15 -1 12
L W D L D
9 8 3 3 2 6:8 -2 12
D D W W L
10 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
11 8 3 1 4 13:11 2 10
L W L D W
12 8 2 4 2 13:16 -3 10
D W W D L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
14 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 8 1 2 5 4:13 -9 5
L L D L D
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two