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15.08.2026 16:15
The Oval
Referee: T. Owen
Caernarfon Town
Match Timeline
Colwyn Bay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
D. Gosset
Caernarfon Town
🟨
59'
D. Gosset
Caernarfon Town
⚽
65'
Z. Clarke
Caernarfon Town
🔄
70'
O. Evans ↔ S. Bradley
Caernarfon Town
⚽
73'
A. Cieslewicz
Caernarfon Town
🔄
76'
M. Hill ↔ E. Roberts
Colwyn Bay
🔄
76'
J. Williams ↔ A. Williams
Colwyn Bay
🔄
79'
Z. Clarke ↔ O. Zanzala
Caernarfon Town
🔄
87'
A. Cieslewicz ↔ D. Thomas
Caernarfon Town
🔄
87'
J. Canavan ↔ H. Wyn
Caernarfon Town

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 21%
Draw 8.1%
Colwyn Bay Win 71%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1.1
Colwyn Bay2.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
5 GF / 14 GA
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.88
2.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 5 matches
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 8 matches
Caernarfon Town Statistic Colwyn Bay
2 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
5 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 10
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
2.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 7 times, Colwyn Bay won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:5 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 7, draws 0, Colwyn Bay wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 11 1 0 38:5 33 34
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 28:8 20 28
W W W W L
3 12 8 3 1 22:10 12 27
L W W W W
4 12 8 1 3 27:20 7 25
W L L D W
5 12 7 2 3 35:14 21 23
L D W D W
6 12 7 1 4 21:15 6 22
L W W W W
7 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
W W D L D
8 12 6 0 6 21:17 4 18
W L W L L
9 12 5 3 4 21:32 -11 18
L W L W W
10 12 5 1 6 21:19 2 16
L L L D L
11 12 3 3 6 11:20 -9 12
W D D L L
12 12 3 1 8 7:17 -10 10
L L L W W
13 12 2 2 8 12:24 -12 8
W W L L D
14 12 1 3 8 9:32 -23 6
W L L D L
15 12 0 3 9 5:30 -25 3
L L D L L
16 12 0 2 10 13:38 -25 2
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)