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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
07.08.2026 18:45
Caen
Match Timeline
Valenciennes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
F. El Khoumisti · Assist: Z. Bagbema
Caen
⚽
39'
F. El Khoumisti · Assist: L. Milliner
Caen
🟨
44'
D. Goprou
Valenciennes
🟨
45+5'
Z. Amir
Valenciennes
🟨
54'
M. A. El Idrissi
Caen
⚽
60'
F. El Khoumisti
Caen
🔄
67'
T. Marechal ↔ V. Marcel
Valenciennes
🔄
67'
R. Ekra ↔ L. Boiteau
Valenciennes
🔄
73'
M. A. El Idrissi ↔ A. Gnanduillet
Caen
🔄
73'
L. Milliner ↔ J. Bomo
Caen
🔄
74'
B. Passi ↔ A. Wahib
Valenciennes
🔄
81'
F. El Khoumisti ↔ S. Noireau-Dauriat
Caen
🔄
81'
D. Abu ↔ S. Lebouath
Valenciennes
🔄
81'
C. Abi ↔ G. Courtet
Valenciennes
⚽
84'
M. Hafid
Caen
🔄
85'
M. Hafid ↔ S. Diakite
Caen
🔄
85'
H. Lamouliatte ↔ O. Pembele
Caen
🟨
87'
C. Rocchia
Valenciennes
🟨
87'
O. Pembele
Caen

Caen vs Valenciennes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Caen Win 47.9%
Draw 17.4%
Valenciennes Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caen2.01
Valenciennes2.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caen Caen
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WLDWL
13 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.8
Average Goals Scored
2.17
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caen Caen 5 matches
Valenciennes Valenciennes 6 matches
Caen Statistic Valenciennes
3 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
1 Losses 0
14 Goals For 13
9 Goals Against 5
2.8 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Caen won 4 times, Valenciennes won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Caen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
H2H summary: Caen wins 4, draws 6, Valenciennes wins 4

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 15:8 7 21
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
4 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
5 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
6 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
7
Caen Home
9 5 0 4 17:12 5 15
L W L W W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation