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24.05.2026 16:30
JP Financial Estadio
Referee: A. Fuentes
Cadiz
Match Timeline
Leganes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
L. Perez
Cadiz
🔄
37'
R. Kouame ↔ S. Ortuno
Cadiz
🟨
45+2'
Youssouf Diarra
Cadiz
🟨
45+2'
Rubén Peña
Leganes
🔄
46'
G. Aguilar Lopez ↔ Duk
Leganes
🔄
46'
R. Pena ↔ S. Figueredo
Leganes
🟨
53'
Ignasi Miquel
Leganes
🔄
63'
J. Cruz ↔ O. Plano
Leganes
🔄
63'
L. Asue ↔ A. Millan
Leganes
⚽
69'
J. de la Rosa · Assist: S. Arribas
Cadiz
🟨
70'
Jose Antonio de la Rosa
Cadiz
🔄
72'
J. de la Rosa ↔ B. Ocampo
Cadiz
🔄
72'
A. Pascual ↔ D. Camara
Cadiz
🟨
79'
Dawda Camara
Cadiz
🔄
79'
I. Miquel ↔ D. Garcia
Leganes
⚽
81'
A. Cordero · Assist: B. Ocampo
Cadiz
🔄
85'
L. Perez ↔ A. Fernandez
Cadiz
🟨
86'
Sergio Ortuño
Cadiz
🟨
86'
Óscar Plano
Leganes
🟨
90+2'
David Gil
Cadiz
🟨
90+2'
Diego García
Leganes

Cadiz vs Leganes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cadiz Win 0%
Draw 67.7%
Leganes Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cadiz1.08
Leganes1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cadiz Cadiz
WWDLW
42 GF / 61 GA
Leganes Leganes
WLDWL
47 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
21
BTTS Yes
22
22
Over 2.5
20
2.93
Shots on Goal
3.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cadiz Cadiz 42 matches
Leganes Leganes 42 matches
Cadiz Statistic Leganes
11 Wins 11
10 Draws 13
21 Losses 18
42 Goals For 47
61 Goals Against 51
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
21 BTTS Yes 22
28 Over 1.5 30
22 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 12
15 Failed To Score 15
2.93 Shots On Goal 3.93
9.45 Total Shots 11.73
4.24 Corners 4.54
43.7% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Leganes. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cadiz expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Leganes in 3-3-1-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leganes having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cadiz Analysis

Cadiz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 40 points from 40 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 20 defeats with a 37:57 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Tabatadze (6 goals), B. Ocampo (5 goals), Dawda Camara (5 goals), with creative support from A. Pascual (6 assists), S. Ortuno (4 assists), Mario Climent (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Leganes Analysis

Leganes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 43 points from 40 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 42:48, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through M. de la Fuente (6 goals), Álex Millán (6 goals), D. Garcia (5 goals), with creative support from Duk (5 assists), M. de la Fuente (4 assists), D. Rodriguez (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Cadiz won 1 times, Leganes won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Cadiz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cadiz 4-2-3-1 / Leganes 3-3-1-3
H2H summary: Cadiz wins 1, draws 1, Leganes wins 0

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18
Cadiz Home
42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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