ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.10.2026 18:30
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros

CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CA Estudiantes Win 39.9%
Draw 15.8%
Deportivo Moron Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Estudiantes0.93
Deportivo Moron1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WWDLW
29 GF / 29 GA
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WLDWL
53 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
19
9
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 33 matches
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 34 matches
CA Estudiantes Statistic Deportivo Moron
12 Wins 18
9 Draws 7
12 Losses 9
29 Goals For 53
29 Goals Against 34
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 19
18 Over 1.5 27
9 Over 2.5 19
1 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Moron having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Moron. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

From their first 32 matches, CA Estudiantes have collected 45 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 29:27 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 58 points from 32 games, Deportivo Moron bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a 51:32 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes won 4 times, Deportivo Moron won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:15 from CA Estudiantes's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
H2H summary: CA Estudiantes wins 4, draws 5, Deportivo Moron wins 6

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 7 7 36:27 9 61
L W W D D
2 32 17 7 8 51:32 19 58
W L L W W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 32 14 11 7 46:28 18 53
W D W L W
5 32 14 10 8 39:25 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 10 10 25:21 4 46
L L L D D
7 32 12 9 11 29:27 2 45
L W W W L
8 32 11 12 9 27:28 -1 45
W W L D L
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 32 9 10 13 30:33 -3 37
D L W D W
11 32 8 13 11 25:29 -4 37
D L W W D
12 32 9 10 13 28:36 -8 37
W W L W D
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 32 7 14 11 29:39 -10 35
W L L D D
15 32 6 15 11 20:29 -9 33
D D L D D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 32 6 13 13 25:38 -13 31
L L D D L
18 32 7 8 17 22:35 -13 29
L W W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation