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Buxton vs Harborough Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Buxton Win 79.9%
Draw 5.6%
Harborough Town Win 14.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Buxton1.46
Harborough Town1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Buxton Buxton
W D L L L
5 GF / 11 GA
Harborough Town Harborough Town
D W W W L
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Buxton Buxton 19 matches
Harborough Town Harborough Town 17 matches
Buxton Statistic Harborough Town
10 Wins 7
2 Draws 6
7 Losses 4
30 Goals For 25
29 Goals Against 22
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
11 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 11
13 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 5
0 Total Shots 10.5
0 Corners 3.5
0% Ball Possession 28.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Harborough Town having the stronger overall control. Buxton arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 20 points compared to Harborough Town in 16 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Harborough Town. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Buxton Analysis

So far, Buxton have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 20 points from 13 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 23:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Harborough Town Analysis

With 16 points from 12 games and a place of 16, Harborough Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 12:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)

Standings

National League N/S: North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 24:7 17 26
W L D W W
2 12 7 3 2 22:8 14 24
D W D W L
3 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
L W W D D
4 12 7 2 3 21:18 3 23
W L L W L
5 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
D D W W W
6 13 6 3 4 23:19 4 21
W W W W L
7 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
L W W L L
8 13 6 2 5 23:23 0 20
W D L L W
9 12 6 1 5 16:16 0 19
W L D L W
10 13 5 4 4 18:23 -5 19
D L L D W
11 12 5 2 5 18:12 6 17
W L D W L
12 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
L L L W W
13 12 5 2 5 20:21 -1 17
L W W L W
14 13 5 2 6 15:20 -5 17
D D W L W
15 12 5 1 6 14:13 1 16
D W W W L
16 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D W L D L
17 13 4 3 6 19:18 1 15
L W L D D
18 13 3 6 4 15:16 -1 15
L D D L D
19 13 5 0 8 16:21 -5 15
W W W L L
20 13 4 3 6 15:24 -9 15
L L W W D
21 13 3 4 6 13:20 -7 13
D W L L D
22 13 3 2 8 17:24 -7 11
W L D D L
23 13 2 4 7 13:23 -10 10
D L L D L
24 12 1 4 7 12:26 -14 7
L L D D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation