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BRAZIL › SERIE C
10.10.2026 20:00

Brusque vs Paysandu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Brusque Win 76.5%
Draw 6.5%
Paysandu Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brusque1.49
Paysandu1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brusque Brusque
WWDLW
37 GF / 31 GA
Paysandu Paysandu
WLDWL
30 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
17
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brusque Brusque 24 matches
Paysandu Paysandu 24 matches
Brusque Statistic Paysandu
10 Wins 10
8 Draws 3
6 Losses 11
37 Goals For 30
31 Goals Against 34
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
17 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Brusque's more proactive style and Paysandu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Paysandu. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paysandu having the stronger overall control. Paysandu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Brusque Analysis

Brusque come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 32 points from 19 matches. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 28:22 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Paysandu Analysis

With 29 points from 19 games and a place of 7, Paysandu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 26:27 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
D D L L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D L D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
L D W W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D D W L W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D W D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W L D L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D D W W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation