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25.07.2026 18:00
Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
Brown DE Adrogue
Match Timeline
Argentino de Merlo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Argentino de Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
⚽
40'
B. Baez
Brown DE Adrogue
🟨
45+1'
M. Pieres
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
60'
M. Sproat ↔ F. Ferrario
Brown DE Adrogue
🟨
62'
L. Baldunciel
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
65'
L. Baldunciel ↔ N. Rodriguez
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
68'
B. Baez ↔ N. Meaurio
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
77'
J. Silva ↔ V. Galeano
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
77'
B. Lopez ↔ A. Gonzalez
Brown DE Adrogue

Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino de Merlo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Brown DE Adrogue Win 26.2%
Draw 23.5%
Argentino de Merlo Win 50.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brown DE Adrogue0.76
Argentino de Merlo1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
WWDLW
16 GF / 29 GA
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WLDWL
26 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
9
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue 26 matches
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 27 matches
Brown DE Adrogue Statistic Argentino de Merlo
5 Wins 9
9 Draws 8
12 Losses 10
16 Goals For 26
29 Goals Against 26
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
9 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 9
13 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Argentino de Merlo. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Argentino de Merlo having the stronger overall control. Argentino de Merlo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 27 points while Brown DE Adrogue sit 20 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Brown DE Adrogue Analysis

With 19 points from 21 games and a place of 20, Brown DE Adrogue still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 14:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

So far, Argentino de Merlo have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 27 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 17:18 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Brown DE Adrogue won 2 times, Argentino de Merlo won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Brown DE Adrogue's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.5%)
H2H summary: Brown DE Adrogue wins 2, draws 1, Argentino de Merlo wins 1

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 23 9 8 64:31 33 78
D W L W W
2 40 20 13 7 53:26 27 73
D W L W L
3 40 19 12 9 47:29 18 69
D W W W D
4 40 19 11 10 42:26 16 68
L D L W D
5 40 18 13 9 47:32 15 67
W D L L L
6 40 17 14 9 39:27 12 65
L D L D W
7 40 17 11 12 42:38 4 62
D D W W W
8 40 17 11 12 42:39 3 62
D L W L W
9 40 14 15 11 39:34 5 57
D D D D W
10 40 14 13 13 49:52 -3 55
W D W L L
11 40 12 15 13 41:45 -4 51
D L W L W
12 40 12 14 14 40:43 -3 50
W L W W D
13 40 11 15 14 39:53 -14 48
W D D L W
14 40 11 14 15 41:45 -4 47
L L L W D
15 40 10 15 15 33:41 -8 45
D D W L L
16 40 12 9 19 36:48 -12 45
W W D L L
17 40 11 11 18 36:44 -8 44
L L L L W
18 40 9 17 14 32:40 -8 44
L D D D D
19 40 9 16 15 25:37 -12 43
D W D W D
20 40 9 15 16 33:40 -7 42
D L D W L
21 40 6 21 13 23:36 -13 39
D W W D L
22 40 1 14 25 27:64 -37 17
D D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)