03.10.2026 13:30
Old Road
Referee: S. Davies
Briton Ferry
Match Timeline
Colwyn Bay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
J. Kenny
Colwyn Bay
🟨
44'
M. Hill
Colwyn Bay
⚽
45+2'
T. Walters
Briton Ferry
🟥
54'
R. Owen
Briton Ferry
🔄
59'
C. Hurford ↔ J. Lloyd
Briton Ferry
🔄
63'
J. Williams ↔ A. Edwards
Colwyn Bay
🔄
63'
M. Hill ↔ E. Roberts
Colwyn Bay
🔄
63'
J. Kenny ↔ L. Robles
Colwyn Bay
🔄
68'
O. Anderson ↔ L. Bowen
Briton Ferry
🟨
74'
D. Packer
Briton Ferry
🟨
76'
W. Fuller
Briton Ferry
🔄
87'
T. Walters ↔ J. Jones
Briton Ferry

Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.7%
1.18 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.77 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
8.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Briton Ferry Win 42.5%
Draw 10.3%
Colwyn Bay Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Briton Ferry1.07
Colwyn Bay1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
WWDLW
13 GF / 29 GA
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
WLDWL
32 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.88
2.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
8
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 14 matches
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 17 matches
Briton Ferry Statistic Colwyn Bay
3 Wins 10
3 Draws 2
8 Losses 5
13 Goals For 32
29 Goals Against 22
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
2.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colwyn Bay's more proactive style and Briton Ferry's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Colwyn Bay. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colwyn Bay having the stronger overall control. Colwyn Bay look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Colwyn Bay carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 19 points while Briton Ferry sit 12 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Briton Ferry Analysis

With 8 points from 10 games and a place of 12, Briton Ferry still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 9:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colwyn Bay Analysis

Colwyn Bay sit 6 with 19 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 20:14 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Briton Ferry won 0 times, Colwyn Bay won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Briton Ferry's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
H2H summary: Briton Ferry wins 0, draws 1, Colwyn Bay wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 11 1 0 38:5 33 34
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 28:8 20 28
W W W W L
3 12 8 3 1 22:10 12 27
L W W W W
4 12 8 1 3 27:20 7 25
W L L D W
5 12 7 2 3 35:14 21 23
L D W D W
6 12 7 1 4 21:15 6 22
L W W W W
7 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
W W D L D
8 12 6 0 6 21:17 4 18
W L W L L
9 12 5 3 4 21:32 -11 18
L W L W W
10 12 5 1 6 21:19 2 16
L L L D L
11 12 3 3 6 11:20 -9 12
W D D L L
12 12 3 1 8 7:17 -10 10
L L L W W
13 12 2 2 8 12:24 -12 8
W W L L D
14 12 1 3 8 9:32 -23 6
W L L D L
15 12 0 3 9 5:30 -25 3
L L D L L
16 12 0 2 10 13:38 -25 2
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)