ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

05.09.2026 14:00

Bristol Rovers

1 - 0

Rotherham

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers

Match Timeline

Rotherham

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Bristol Rovers vs Rotherham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 54.7%

Odds 1.66

BTTS

Yes

Probability 86%

Odds 1.67

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 66.7%

Odds 1.69

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	54.7%	1.66	▥
BTTS	Yes	86%	1.67	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.7%	1.69	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.20	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	2.75	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	8.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Bristol Rovers Win 54.7%

Draw 12.8%

Rotherham Win 32.6%

Expected Goals (xG)

Bristol Rovers1.8

Rotherham1.28

Recent Form (Last 5)

Bristol Rovers

WWDLW

21 GF / 13 GA

Rotherham

WLDWL

13 GF / 11 GA

Key Stats

2.33

Average Goals Scored

1.18

1.44

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.25

Shots on Goal

3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bristol Rovers 9 matches

Rotherham 11 matches

Bristol Rovers	Statistic	Rotherham
5	Wins	4
2	Draws	5
2	Losses	2
21	Goals For	13
13	Goals Against	11
2.33	Avg Goals Scored	1.18
1.44	Avg Goals Conceded	1
6	BTTS Yes	7
9	Over 1.5	9
6	Over 2.5	3
4	Over 3.5	1
3	Clean Sheets	3
0	Failed To Score	1
6.25	Shots On Goal	3.5
22.75	Total Shots	14
6	Corners	3.75
46%	Ball Possession	47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Bristol Rovers won 5 times, Rotherham won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Bristol Rovers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)

Predicted formations: Bristol Rovers 4-2-3-1 / Rotherham 3-4-2-1

H2H summary: Bristol Rovers wins 5, draws 1, Rotherham wins 4

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Salford City	9	5	1	3	13:10	3	16	W W W D W
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17:10	7	15	W W D D D
3	Crewe	9	3	6	0	11:7	4	15	W D D D D
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	16:14	2	15	L W D W D
5	Bristol Rovers Home	9	5	0	4	14:14	0	15	L W L L W
6	York	8	4	2	2	16:10	6	14	W L W D L
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14	D W D D D
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14	W L W W D
9	Grimsby	9	3	4	2	13:10	3	13	L L W W D
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	11:9	2	13	D L W W W
11	Rochdale	9	4	1	4	10:11	-1	13	W W W D L
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	12:12	0	11	L D D L W
13	Swindon Town	9	3	2	4	9:13	-4	11	L D L L W
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	9:14	-5	11	W D D W L
15	Newport County	9	2	4	3	12:12	0	10	D W D D L
16	Accrington ST	9	2	4	3	13:14	-1	10	W D D L W
17	Rotherham Away	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10	L D W D L
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10	L L L D W
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	10:12	-2	10	D D D L L
20	Exeter City	9	2	3	4	5:6	-1	9	W L D L D
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	9:13	-4	7	L L L L D
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3:6	-3	6	L L W D D
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3:9	-6	5	L W L L D
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4	L L L D L

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League