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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
24.11.2026 19:45
Valley Parade

Bradford vs Barnsley Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bradford Win 51.5%
Draw 16%
Barnsley Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bradford1.6
Barnsley1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bradford Bradford
WWDLW
25 GF / 12 GA
Barnsley Barnsley
WLDWL
17 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
8
3.22
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bradford Bradford 15 matches
Barnsley Barnsley 14 matches
Bradford Statistic Barnsley
9 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 6
25 Goals For 17
12 Goals Against 21
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
3.22 Shots On Goal 5
10.56 Total Shots 17.13
6.78 Corners 8
51.1% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bradford's more proactive style and Barnsley's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bradford arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 12 points compared to Barnsley in 18 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barnsley. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bradford expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Barnsley in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barnsley having the stronger overall control.

Bradford Analysis

Bradford come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 12 points after 6 matches. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 6:4, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Baldwin (1 goals), A. Sarcevic (1 goals), George Christopher John Pratt (1 goals), with creative support from M. Pennington (1 assists), J. Beesley (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Barnsley Analysis

With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 18, Barnsley still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:11 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. McGeehan (3 goals), R. Cleary (1 goals), Amani Richards (1 goals), with creative support from R. Cleary (1 assists), Patrick Kelly (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Bradford won 2 times, Barnsley won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Bradford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
Predicted formations: Bradford 3-4-2-1 / Barnsley 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bradford wins 2, draws 3, Barnsley wins 6

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two