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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
19.05.2026 18:30
Vitality Stadium
Referee: A. Taylor
Bournemouth
Match Timeline
Manchester City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Tyler Adams
Bournemouth
⚽
39'
E. J. Kroupi · Assist: A. Truffert
Bournemouth
🔄
56'
M. Kovacic ↔ P. Foden
Manchester City
🔄
56'
B. Silva ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🔄
56'
A. Semenyo ↔ Savinho
Manchester City
🟨
59'
James Hill
Bournemouth
🔄
76'
E. J. Kroupi ↔ J. Kluivert
Bournemouth
🔄
76'
J. Doku ↔ O. Marmoush
Manchester City
🔄
84'
Rayan ↔ D. Brooks
Bournemouth
🔄
89'
Evanilson ↔ E. Unal
Bournemouth
🟨
90+6'
Adrien Truffert
Bournemouth
🟨
90+3'
Justin Kluivert
Bournemouth
🟨
90+7'
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Manchester City
🟨
90+3'
Rodri
Manchester City
🔄
90'
A. Smith ↔ L. Cook
Bournemouth
⚽
90'
E. Haaland
Manchester City

Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
67.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bournemouth Win 25.8%
Draw 2.8%
Manchester City Win 71.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth1.32
Manchester City1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WWDLW
58 GF / 54 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
113 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
2.17
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
24
BTTS Yes
25
22
Over 2.5
33
4.97
Shots on Goal
5.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bournemouth Bournemouth 37 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 52 matches
Bournemouth Statistic Manchester City
13 Wins 34
17 Draws 9
7 Losses 9
58 Goals For 113
54 Goals Against 49
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
24 BTTS Yes 25
28 Over 1.5 46
22 Over 2.5 33
17 Over 3.5 14
11 Clean Sheets 22
7 Failed To Score 6
4.97 Shots On Goal 5.85
14.03 Total Shots 15.92
5.59 Corners 6.4
49.8% Ball Possession 60.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Bournemouth appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Manchester City. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Manchester City. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Manchester City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 77 points while Bournemouth sit 6 on 55, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bournemouth expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Manchester City in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manchester City having the stronger overall control.

Bournemouth Analysis

Bournemouth are currently 6 in the standings with 55 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 16 draws, and 7 losses, while the 56:52 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Semenyo (16 goals), Eli Junior Kroupi (12 goals), Evanilson (6 goals), with creative support from M. Senesi (5 assists), A. Semenyo (4 assists), M. Tavernier (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Cook, J. Soler, R. Christie unavailable.

Manchester City Analysis

Manchester City approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 77 points after 36 outings. With 23 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 75:32, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Haaland (26 goals), P. Foden (7 goals), J. Doku (5 goals), with creative support from R. Cherki (12 assists), E. Haaland (8 assists), P. Foden (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 1 times, Manchester City won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:38 from Bournemouth's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.2%)
Predicted formations: Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 / Manchester City 4-2-2-2
Missing players: Bournemouth 2, Manchester City 0
H2H summary: Bournemouth wins 1, draws 1, Manchester City wins 13

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship