Login Register
FRANCE › LIGUE 3
09.05.2026 17:30
Stade Marcel-Verchere
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Match Timeline
Valenciennes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
S. Appuah
Valenciennes
🟨
45'
A. Do Marcolino
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🟨
45+1'
S. Belloumou
Valenciennes
🔄
57'
A. Pembele ↔ R. Slimani
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🟨
59'
B. Besic
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🔄
63'
E. Airhiavbere ↔ D. Abu
Valenciennes
⚽
64'
A. Do Marcolino · Assist: R. Slimani
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🔄
70'
S. Appuah ↔ R. Boissier
Valenciennes
🔄
70'
Q. Daubin ↔ A. Ipiele
Valenciennes
🔄
77'
E. H. Raheriniaina ↔ A. Coeff
Valenciennes
🔄
77'
S. Belloumou ↔ D. Diomande
Valenciennes
🔄
83'
M. Bodmer ↔ M. Magassouba
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🟨
84'
J. Meyer
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🔄
87'
S. Cisse ↔ D. Banzouzi
Bourg-en-bresse 01

Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Valenciennes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bourg-en-bresse 01 Win 49.4%
Draw 0%
Valenciennes Win 50.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bourg-en-bresse 011.03
Valenciennes1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01
WWDLW
29 GF / 52 GA
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WLDWL
33 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
14
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01 34 matches
Valenciennes Valenciennes 29 matches
Bourg-en-bresse 01 Statistic Valenciennes
9 Wins 10
7 Draws 7
18 Losses 12
29 Goals For 33
52 Goals Against 38
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
14 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 7
14 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
6 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
30% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valenciennes having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Valenciennes.

Bourg-en-bresse 01 Analysis

With 28 points from 31 games and a place of 15, Bourg-en-bresse 01 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 24:44 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Besic (8 goals), J. Meyer (6 goals), M. Boumaaoui (3 goals), with creative support from S. Cisse (4 assists), J. Meyer (3 assists), B. Besic (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valenciennes Analysis

Valenciennes sit 9 with 36 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats with a 33:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Courtet (5 goals), A. Ipiele (3 goals), B. Passi (3 goals), with creative support from D. Diomande (5 assists), T. Marechal (3 assists), A. Ipiele (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Bourg-en-bresse 01 won 3 times, Valenciennes won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Bourg-en-bresse 01's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Bourg-en-bresse 01 wins 3, draws 4, Valenciennes wins 4

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation