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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.79
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.4%
1.50
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.79
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.70
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
1.95
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Botev Plovdiv Win 66.4%
Draw 6.9%
Spartak Varna Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botev Plovdiv1.68
Spartak Varna0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
WWDLW
24 GF / 4 GA
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
WLDWL
6 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
3
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 10 matches
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 5 matches
Botev Plovdiv Statistic Spartak Varna
9 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
24 Goals For 6
4 Goals Against 3
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
3 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 2
6 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Botev Plovdiv won 5 times, Spartak Varna won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Botev Plovdiv's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Botev Plovdiv - / Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botev Plovdiv wins 5, draws 1, Spartak Varna wins 5
Last matches: Botev Plovdiv
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Ballkani
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
W
23.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Pleven
4
0
W
25.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
5
0
W
12.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
09.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
04.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
5
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
20.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
1
3
L
08.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
03.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Montana
0
0
D
Last matches: Spartak Varna
27.06.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
0
0
D
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
24.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
06.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
H2H: Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna
04.04.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
5
0
W
28.01.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
13.12.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
W
24.10.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
L
18.05.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
3
2
W
15.02.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
L
24.08.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
27.02.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
17.04.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
16.09.22
H2H
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
L
Last matches: Botev Plovdiv
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Ballkani
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
W
23.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Pleven
4
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
5
0
W
12.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
08.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
04.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
5
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
1
3
L
03.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
23.02.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Ludogorets
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Sevlievo
4
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Drenica Skënderaj
1
0
W
15.01.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Maritsa Plovdiv
2
0
W
29.11.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
2
1
W
H2H at home: Botev Plovdiv
04.04.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
5
0
W
28.01.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
04.05.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
3
2
W
24.08.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
0
1
L
27.02.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
17.04.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
Last matches: Spartak Varna
18.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
06.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
27.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
3
1
W
15.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Fratria
1
0
W
04.12.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
0
2
L
21.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
0
D
01.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
0
2
L
18.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
1
D
04.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
19.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
1
W
22.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
10.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
1
2
L
H2H away: Spartak Varna
04.04.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
5
0
L
28.01.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
L
04.05.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
3
2
L
24.08.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
0
1
W
27.02.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
2
1
L
17.04.23
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 4.00
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.38
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.70
Under 2.5 2.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.53
Draw 4.30
Home 1.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.65
Draw 2.35
Home 2.03
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.31
Draw 2.75
Home 1.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.25
Over 2.0 1.31
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 2.75 1.91
Over 3.0 2.17
Over 3.25 2.42
Over 3.5 2.72
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.30
Over 4.25 4.64
Over 4.5 4.95
Over 4.75 6.25
Over 5.0 8.90
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.0 8.00
Under 1.25 5.36
Under 1.5 3.86
Under 1.75 3.46
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.44
Under 2.5 2.07
Under 2.75 1.86
Under 3.0 1.59
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01