BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
10.10.2026 17:00
Stadion Hristo Botev

Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Botev Plovdiv Win 42.8%
Draw 15.9%
Slavia Sofia Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botev Plovdiv1.63
Slavia Sofia1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
WWDLW
45 GF / 18 GA
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
WLDWL
36 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2.05
Average Goals Scored
1.8
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
10
6
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 22 matches
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 20 matches
Botev Plovdiv Statistic Slavia Sofia
16 Wins 8
1 Draws 8
5 Losses 4
45 Goals For 36
18 Goals Against 20
2.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 4
6 Shots On Goal 2.6
12.5 Total Shots 7.2
3.7 Corners 4.1
50.6% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Slavia Sofia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Botev Plovdiv Analysis

So far, Botev Plovdiv have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 16 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:14 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Slavia Sofia Analysis

So far, Slavia Sofia have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 11 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botev Plovdiv won 5 times, Slavia Sofia won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Botev Plovdiv's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1 / Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botev Plovdiv wins 5, draws 5, Slavia Sofia wins 5

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
D W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 24:7 17 24
D W W D W
3 9 7 2 0 16:7 9 23
W W D D W
4 10 7 1 2 19:10 9 22
W W L W L
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L L W W
6 10 5 1 4 16:14 2 16
W W W L L
7 10 2 5 3 9:8 1 11
L D W L D
8 10 2 4 4 10:15 -5 10
L D D D L
9 10 2 3 5 9:19 -10 9
D D W L W
10 10 2 2 6 8:18 -10 8
L L L D W
11 10 1 4 5 11:18 -7 7
W L D L D
12 10 2 1 7 5:13 -8 7
D L W L L
13 10 1 3 6 11:20 -9 6
D D L L W
14 10 1 2 7 10:19 -9 5
D L L D L
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
efbet League (Relegation Group)