Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.48
Gremio1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo
WWDLW
34 GF / 34 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
22 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
15
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
8
4.86
Shots on Goal
3.61
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
21 matches
Gremio
19 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 34 | Goals For | 22 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.86 | Shots On Goal | 3.61 |
| 12.62 | Total Shots | 11.33 |
| 3.76 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 5 times, Gremio won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:32 from Botafogo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Botafogo 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 5, draws 2, Gremio wins 8
Last matches: Botafogo
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
29.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
4
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Palmeiras
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
04.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Botafogo
Fluminense
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Botafogo
Gremio
3
5
L
Last matches: Gremio
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H: Botafogo vs Gremio
05.02.26
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
L
22.11.25
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
2
W
24.09.25
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
1
1
D
29.09.24
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
0
D
16.06.24
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
1
2
W
09.11.23
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
4
L
09.07.23
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
0
2
W
08.02.21
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
5
L
14.10.20
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
3
1
L
27.10.19
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
3
0
L
12.06.19
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
1
L
01.09.18
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
4
0
L
28.04.18
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
1
W
13.08.17
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
1
0
W
14.05.17
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
2
0
L
Last matches: Botafogo
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
30.01.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo
22.11.25
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
2
W
29.09.24
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
0
D
09.11.23
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
4
L
08.02.21
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
5
L
12.06.19
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
1
L
28.04.18
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
1
W
13.08.17
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
1
0
W
Last matches: Gremio
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
22.11.25
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
2
L
29.09.24
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
0
D
09.11.23
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
4
W
08.02.21
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
5
W
12.06.19
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
1
W
28.04.18
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
1
L
13.08.17
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
1
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 |
Botafogo
Home
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Away
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B