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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
26.09.2026 14:00
Jakemans Community Stadium
Boston United
Match Timeline
AFC Fylde
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
J. Rooney
Boston United
🟨
35'
T. Cursons
Boston United
⚽
51'
D. Mayor
AFC Fylde
🟨
52'
C. Merrie
AFC Fylde
🔄
70'
J. Holmes ↔ K. Aboh
Boston United
🔄
70'
D. Mayor ↔ G. Olley
AFC Fylde
🔄
70'
M. Matthews Lewis ↔ C. Main
AFC Fylde
🔄
70'
C. Merrie ↔ L. Butterfield
AFC Fylde
🟨
80'
T. Whelan
AFC Fylde
🔄
80'
L. Thomas ↔ J. Morris
AFC Fylde
🔄
81'
C. Teale ↔ S. Sachdev
Boston United
🔄
81'
L. Sutton ↔ L. N. John-Lewis
Boston United
🟨
84'
J. Rooney
Boston United
🟥
84'
J. Rooney
Boston United
🔄
87'
L. Wheeldon ↔ L. Shipley
Boston United
🔄
87'
E. Mitchell ↔ T. Upton
AFC Fylde

Boston United vs AFC Fylde Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.5%
Odds 2.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.5%
2.55 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.48 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.21 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Boston United Win 19.3%
Draw 4.3%
AFC Fylde Win 76.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boston United1.31
AFC Fylde1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boston United Boston United
WWDLW
16 GF / 17 GA
AFC Fylde AFC Fylde
WLDWL
30 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
7
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boston United Boston United 14 matches
AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 16 matches
Boston United Statistic AFC Fylde
5 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
16 Goals For 30
17 Goals Against 25
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
7 BTTS Yes 12
9 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by AFC Fylde's more proactive style and Boston United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. AFC Fylde carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 17 points while Boston United sit 18 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward AFC Fylde. AFC Fylde look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Fylde having the stronger overall control.

Boston United Analysis

Boston United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 8 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 10:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AFC Fylde Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 17 points from 8 games, AFC Fylde bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 19:11, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Boston United won 1 times, AFC Fylde won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Boston United's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Boston United wins 1, draws 1, AFC Fylde wins 6

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation