Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Boston River
Cerro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Boston River
15 matches
Cerro
15 matches
| Boston River | Statistic | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 14 | Goals For | 8 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.53 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cerro. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Boston River sit 13 with 17 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 14:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Bonfiglio (3 goals), F. Munoa (2 goals), L. Suhr (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Cerro sit 16 with 10 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 8:24, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Pandiani (4 goals), T. Correa (4 goals), Alejo Macelli (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Boston River won 7 times, Cerro won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:15 from Boston River's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Lineups
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Albion FC
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Wanderers
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Albion FC
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Plaza Colonia
Boston River
CA River Plate
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Rocha
Boston River
Canadian
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Oriental
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
CA River Plate
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Cerro
Miramar
Cerro
La Luz
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Cerro
Juventud
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Boston River
Home
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Cerro
Away
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|