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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
03.05.2026 15:30
Borussia-Park
Referee: Florian Badstubner, Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Match Timeline
Borussia Dortmund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
54'
Kevin Stöger
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🟨
56'
Nico Schlotterbeck
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
61'
M. Beier ↔ D. Svensson
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
65'
W. Mohya ↔ H. Bolin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
70'
F. C. Chiarodia ↔ K. Diks
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
70'
K. Stoger ↔ G. Reyna
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
76'
S. Guirassy ↔ F. Silva
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
76'
J. Bellingham ↔ S. Ozcan
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
84'
J. Brandt ↔ C. Chukwuemeka
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
84'
J. Ryerson ↔ Y. Couto
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
87'
Nico Elvedi
Borussia Mönchengladbach
⚽
88'
H. Tabakovic · Assist: R. Reitz
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🟨
90+1'
Haris Tabaković
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VAR
90'
Haris Tabaković
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
90+1'
H. Tabakovic ↔ S. Machino
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
90+1'
R. Reitz ↔ R. Hack
Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win 34.3%
Draw 12.5%
Borussia Dortmund Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.2
Borussia Dortmund1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
WWDLW
36 GF / 50 GA
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WLDWL
87 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
2.12
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
13
BTTS Yes
22
16
Over 2.5
25
4.1
Shots on Goal
4.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 matches
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 41 matches
Borussia Mönchengladbach Statistic Borussia Dortmund
7 Wins 24
11 Draws 9
13 Losses 8
36 Goals For 87
50 Goals Against 52
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 2.12
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
13 BTTS Yes 22
22 Over 1.5 37
16 Over 2.5 25
11 Over 3.5 17
11 Clean Sheets 16
12 Failed To Score 3
4.1 Shots On Goal 4.68
11.55 Total Shots 12.66
3.97 Corners 5.12
46.1% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Borussia Dortmund's more proactive style and Borussia Mönchengladbach's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Borussia Dortmund. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Borussia Mönchengladbach expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Borussia Dortmund in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Borussia Dortmund having the stronger overall control. Borussia Dortmund carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 67 points while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 11 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Borussia Mönchengladbach Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Borussia Mönchengladbach have collected 32 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 36:50 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Tabakovic (11 goals), Kevin Diks (4 goals), J. Castrop (3 goals), with creative support from F. Honorat (6 assists), Joseph Scally (3 assists), L. Netz (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Borussia Dortmund Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 67 points from 31 games, Borussia Dortmund bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 20 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 65:31, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Guirassy (15 goals), M. Beier (9 goals), J. Brandt (7 goals), with creative support from J. Ryerson (13 assists), F. Silva (6 assists), M. Beier (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 4 times, Borussia Dortmund won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:35 from Borussia Mönchengladbach's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1-4-2 / Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2, Borussia Dortmund 5
H2H summary: Borussia Mönchengladbach wins 4, draws 1, Borussia Dortmund wins 10

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation