Borussia Dortmund
Match Timeline
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
78.8%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Borussia Dortmund Win 58.8%
Draw 12.5%
SC Freiburg Win 28.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund1.77
SC Freiburg1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Dortmund
WWDLW
83 GF / 52 GA
SC Freiburg
WLDWL
65 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
22
BTTS Yes
23
24
Over 2.5
24
4.68
Shots on Goal
4.55
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Borussia Dortmund
40 matches
SC Freiburg
42 matches
| Borussia Dortmund | Statistic | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 20 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 83 | Goals For | 65 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 2.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.55 |
| 12.55 | Total Shots | 12.95 |
| 5.13 | Corners | 4.55 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 11 times, SC Freiburg won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 46:13 from Borussia Dortmund's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 / SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Borussia Dortmund 5, SC Freiburg 2
H2H summary: Borussia Dortmund wins 11, draws 2, SC Freiburg wins 2
Standings
Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
Home
|
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
Away
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
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Relegation Playoffs
Relegation