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06.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Hernando Siles
Referee: C. Condori
Bolívar
Match Timeline
Oriente Petrolero
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
D. Roca
Oriente Petrolero
⚽
23'
D. Romero · Assist: B. Arce
Bolívar
🟨
36'
M. Velasco
Oriente Petrolero
⚽
37'
N. Roldan · Assist: J. Flores
Oriente Petrolero
🟨
39'
F. Mena
Bolívar
🟨
45+1'
N. Roldan
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
46'
D. Roca ↔ D. Rodriguez
Oriente Petrolero
⚽
56'
M. Cauteruccio
Bolívar
🔄
60'
J. Flores ↔ A. Pena
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
64'
F. Lopez ↔ J. Velasco
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
66'
Robson Matheus ↔ Pato Rodriguez
Bolívar
🔄
66'
L. Paz ↔ J. Sagredo
Bolívar
🔄
73'
M. Cauteruccio ↔ D. Asprilla
Bolívar
🔄
73'
E. Saavedra ↔ C. A. Melgar
Bolívar
🔄
73'
F. Gonzales Mejia ↔ J. Escobar
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
73'
L. Vaca ↔ O. Perdomo
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
83'
B. Arce ↔ L. Justiniano
Bolívar
🟨
90'
L. Zabala
Bolívar

Bolívar vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bolívar Win 71.1%
Draw 5.1%
Oriente Petrolero Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bolívar1.6
Oriente Petrolero1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bolívar Bolívar
WWDLW
33 GF / 21 GA
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero
WLDWL
24 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
10
4.78
Shots on Goal
1.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bolívar Bolívar 19 matches
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 15 matches
Bolívar Statistic Oriente Petrolero
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
33 Goals For 24
21 Goals Against 21
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
4.78 Shots On Goal 1.83
11.5 Total Shots 4.5
3.72 Corners 0.58
40.5% Ball Possession 16.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bolívar's more proactive style and Oriente Petrolero's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oriente Petrolero. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bolívar expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Oriente Petrolero in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oriente Petrolero having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Bolívar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 21 points compared to Oriente Petrolero in 8 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Bolívar Analysis

Bolívar come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 21 points from 11 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 26:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Oriente Petrolero Analysis

So far, Oriente Petrolero have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Bolívar won 12 times, Oriente Petrolero won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:7 from Bolívar's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Bolívar 4-4-2 / Oriente Petrolero 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Bolívar wins 12, draws 1, Oriente Petrolero wins 1

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 21 10 3 8 37:27 10 33
W W L L D
5 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 21 7 3 11 35:51 -16 24
W L L W D
12 21 6 3 12 21:40 -19 21
D W L L L
13 21 6 2 13 31:46 -15 20
L L L W L
14 21 5 3 13 27:42 -15 18
L D W L W
15 21 4 5 12 15:39 -24 17
D L L L W
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D