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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
22.07.2026 17:00
Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: Sivert Amland, Norway
Bodo/Glimt
Match Timeline
Ham-Kam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
A. Helmersen · Assist: F. Bjorkan
Bodo/Glimt
⚽
50'
A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
64'
O. Brynhildsen ↔ J. Hauge
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
64'
F. Bjorkan ↔ I. Maatta
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
68'
L. Mares ↔ A. Trondsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
68'
J. Gonstad ↔ D. Benjamin
Ham-Kam
🟨
70'
Anton Ekeroth
Ham-Kam
⚽
75'
P. Berg · Assist: H. Evjen
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
76'
A. Potur ↔ M. Johnsgard
Ham-Kam
🔄
76'
F. Sjolstad ↔ H. Opsahl
Ham-Kam
🔄
79'
O. L. Bjortuft ↔ V. Nielsen
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
79'
O. Blomberg ↔ M. Bro Hansen
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
86'
U. Saltnes ↔ S. Fet
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
86'
H. Udahl ↔ G. Simenstad
Ham-Kam

Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bodo/Glimt Win 68.9%
Draw 3.9%
Ham-Kam Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bodo/Glimt2.26
Ham-Kam1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WWDLW
47 GF / 13 GA
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2.76
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
6
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
14
6.54
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 17 matches
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 21 matches
Bodo/Glimt Statistic Ham-Kam
13 Wins 9
2 Draws 5
2 Losses 7
47 Goals For 36
13 Goals Against 32
2.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
6 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 1
6.54 Shots On Goal 4.42
17.23 Total Shots 11.33
7.31 Corners 4.25
65.2% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ham-Kam. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Bodo/Glimt come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bodo/Glimt expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ham-Kam in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ham-Kam having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Bodo/Glimt Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 26 points from 12 games, Bodo/Glimt bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:11, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Kasper Høgh (7 goals), Håkon Evjen (5 goals), Fredrik Sjøvold (3 goals), with creative support from Kasper Høgh (4 assists), Ole Didrik Blomberg (3 assists), Fredrik Sjøvold (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Ham-Kam Analysis

Ham-Kam sit 6 with 18 points after 11 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 19:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Henrik Udahl (4 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (3 goals), with creative support from Patrick Metcalfe (3 assists), Martin Gjone (2 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 7 times, Ham-Kam won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:8 from Bodo/Glimt's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2 / Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Missing players: Bodo/Glimt 4, Ham-Kam 1
H2H summary: Bodo/Glimt wins 7, draws 2, Ham-Kam wins 1

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen