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20.05.2026 00:30
Estadio Alberto J. Armando
Referee: J. Valenzuela
Boca Juniors
Match Timeline
Cruzeiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
Miguel Merentiel · Assist: L. Paredes
Boca Juniors
🟨
47'
Fagner
Cruzeiro
⚽
54'
Fagner · Assist: Kaiki
Cruzeiro
🔄
63'
Bruno Rodrigues ↔ L. Sinisterra
Cruzeiro
🟥
68'
Gerson
Cruzeiro
🔄
72'
T. Belmonte ↔ E. Zeballos
Boca Juniors
🟨
73'
A. Costa
Boca Juniors
🔄
75'
Fagner ↔ Kaua Moraes
Cruzeiro
🔄
81'
Matheus Pereira ↔ Joao Marcelo
Cruzeiro
🔄
81'
Kaio Jorge ↔ N. Villarreal
Cruzeiro
🟨
83'
E. Zeballos
Boca Juniors
🔄
85'
M. Gimenez ↔ Angel Romero
Boca Juniors
VAR
89'
Miguel Merentiel
Boca Juniors
🟨
90+7'
N. Villarreal
Cruzeiro

Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 20%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
20%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
50%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Boca Juniors Win 39.5%
Draw 14.1%
Cruzeiro Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boca Juniors1.39
Cruzeiro0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
WWDLW
33 GF / 16 GA
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
WLDWL
24 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
10
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
11
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 24 matches
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 20 matches
Boca Juniors Statistic Cruzeiro
12 Wins 7
7 Draws 6
5 Losses 7
33 Goals For 24
16 Goals Against 28
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
10 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 4
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.35
12.29 Total Shots 13.1
4.71 Corners 4.65
58.2% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors won 1 times, Cruzeiro won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Boca Juniors's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Boca Juniors 4-2-3-1 / Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Boca Juniors wins 1, draws 1, Cruzeiro wins 2

Standings

Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:4 4 13
W W D W W
2 6 3 2 1 8:3 5 11
W D D W L
3 6 2 1 3 6:5 1 7
L D L L W
4 6 1 0 5 2:12 -10 3
L L W L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals