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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
19.09.2026 14:00
Bloomfield Road
Referee: D. Drysdale
Blackpool
Match Timeline
Plymouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
J. Brown · Assist: Z. Ashworth
Blackpool
⚽
36'
O. Irow
Plymouth
🟨
38'
Jerry Yates
Blackpool
🟨
47'
Jordan Lee Williams
Blackpool
⚽
52'
O. Irow
Plymouth
⚽
57'
H. White
Plymouth
🔄
59'
J. Earl ↔ F. Munroe
Blackpool
🔄
66'
M. Sorinola ↔ J. Edwards
Plymouth
🔄
66'
J. Pleguezuelo ↔ M. Ross
Plymouth
⚽
70'
J. Yates · Assist: J. Bowler
Blackpool
🟨
71'
Karoy Anderson
Blackpool
🔄
74'
A. Morgan ↔ D. Charles
Blackpool
🔄
77'
O. Irow ↔ C. Watts
Plymouth
🔄
79'
J. Brown ↔ L. Clarkson
Blackpool
🔄
86'
W. Evans ↔ B. Ibrahim
Plymouth
⚽
89'
A. Pepple · Assist: R. Curtis
Plymouth

Blackpool vs Plymouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.6%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.6%
1.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.65 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Blackpool Win 42.5%
Draw 19%
Plymouth Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackpool1.17
Plymouth1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackpool Blackpool
WWDLW
14 GF / 16 GA
Plymouth Plymouth
WLDWL
23 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
6
5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackpool Blackpool 10 matches
Plymouth Plymouth 12 matches
Blackpool Statistic Plymouth
3 Wins 8
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 2
14 Goals For 23
16 Goals Against 10
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
6 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 4.5
15.17 Total Shots 13
4.83 Corners 5.67
48.3% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Blackpool's more proactive style and Plymouth's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Plymouth. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Blackpool expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Plymouth in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plymouth having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Blackpool Analysis

So far, Blackpool have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Bowler (2 goals), D. Charles (1 goals), T. Bloxham (1 goals), with creative support from D. Charles (1 assists), T. Bloxham (1 assists), B. Peacock-Farrell (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Plymouth Analysis

Plymouth approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 7 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 7:8 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on W. Evans (2 goals), C. Watts (1 goals), H. White (1 goals), with creative support from C. Watts (1 assists), T. Bakinson (1 assists), B. Ibrahim (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Blackpool won 3 times, Plymouth won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from Blackpool's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Blackpool 4-2-3-1 / Plymouth 4-4-2
H2H summary: Blackpool wins 3, draws 3, Plymouth wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 8 5 1 2 8:5 3 16
D W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 14:7 7 15
W L D D W
4 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
5 8 4 1 3 17:10 7 13
W D L W L
6 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D W D W
7 8 3 3 2 17:10 7 12
D D W L W
8 9 3 3 3 14:15 -1 12
L W D L D
9 8 3 3 2 6:8 -2 12
D D W W L
10 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
11 8 3 1 4 13:11 2 10
L W L D W
12 8 2 4 2 13:16 -3 10
D W W D L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
14 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 8 1 2 5 4:13 -9 5
L L D L D
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two